Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 4, 2023

Mavericks at Nuggets

2:00 am • ESPN

Dallas Mavericks

38-41

114

114 - 125

Denver Nuggets

47-32

125

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 38-41	+6	+6-110	o230-108	+190
Nuggets 47-32	u227.5	-6-110	u230-110	-230

Saturday 2:00 a.m.

November 04, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

N.Jokic o8.5 Ast-105

0.95u

DEN -6-110

L.Doncic o7.5 Ast-120

0.83u

Over 228-105

L.Doncic o3.5 3pt M+125

1.25u

Odds are dropping + can’t trust a PRA bet

Under 228.5-110

DEN -6-110

1.82u

Injury news? Never heard of her… is she hot?

Over 225.5-110

0.91u

Sniped this line before the Kyrie news

N.Jokic o16.5 Rebs+550

0.25u

A.Gordon o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122

N.Jokic o11.5 Rebs-120

Jokic is going to baptize Derek Lively today. The Mavericks have allowed some massive rebounding numbers to bigs each game this season and Nikola Vucevic just grabbed an absurd 20 rebounds against them last time out. Jokic has excelled in these matchups against smaller bigs and after two “down” games against Kessler and Gobert, I’m expecting a monster game from Joker who is has the 4th most Rebound Chances per game.

Featured Insight
The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,086 turnovers/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season -- third-lowest among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have forced 13.2 turnovers per game (1,106 turnovers/84 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season -- fifth-lowest among NBA defenses.

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 18-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	35-43-1	17-22-1	18-21	24-33-1	11-10
Mavericks	37-40-2	19-19	18-21-2	15-16-1	22-24-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	46-32-1	26-14	20-18-1	33-24-1	13-8
Mavericks	43-36	17-21	26-15	14-18	29-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	47-32	N/A	N/A	37-21	10-11
Mavericks	38-41	N/A	N/A	21-11	17-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 2nd	@MIN	L 89-110	-2.5 L	U 219.5	MIN -134
Oct 31st	UTA	W 110-102	-8.5 L	U 225.5	DEN -365
Oct 29th	@OKC	W 128-95	-3.5 W	U 229.5	DEN -163
Oct 27th	@MEM	W 108-104	-6 L	U 221.5	DEN -225
Oct 24th	LAL	W 119-107	-4.5 W	U 229	DEN -190

Jamal Murray
PG
Jamal Murray (hamstring) out Sunday.
Out
Michael Porter
SF
Michael Porter Jr. (personal) questionable Wednesday.
Questionable
Peyton Watson
PG
Peyton Watson (knee) doubtful Wednesday.
Doubtful
DaRon Holmes
SF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out