Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2023

Pelicans at Nuggets

2:00 am • TNT

New Orleans Pelicans

13-43

107

107 - 88

Denver Nuggets

37-20

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pelicans 13-43	+1.5-110	o225-110	+105
Nuggets 37-20	-1.5-110	u225-110	-126

Friday 2:00 a.m.

March 31, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-120

0.5u

C.Braun o9.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.45u

C.Braun o0.5 3pt M-105

0.65u

1+ in 5/7 without Jokic.

K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-110

1.1u

Avg 12.2 PPG going over 10+ PTS in 4/6 games w/o Jokic. KCP sees the 2nd highest PTS 📈 (14.4 PPG-Per 30) w/o him and Bones Hyland. I expect Murray to have the Herb assignment. NOP allow 3rd highest 3PT FREQ% Post ASB. He’s also shooting 4.4% better at home this szn. #PlayerProps

DEN -146

A.Gordon o15.5 Pts-110

0.75u

Via @SBK5065

A.Gordon o24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.5u

DEN -3.5-110

1.1u

J.Valanciunas Double-Double (Yes)-145

1.5u

Jo Val is rolling and has recorded a DD in 6 of his L7 games. DEN allowing 5th lowest REB Post-ASB but that changes big time with Nikola Jokic ruled OUT. He should see T. Bryant who’ll be near the basket. #PlayerProps

A.Gordon o24.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

J.Valanciunas o12.5 Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

NOP o110.5-110

T.Murphy o2.5 3pt M-130

0.5u

Bet at DraftKings. Hit this in 12/14 games in March and 7/8 road games. 71% of all his shots come from behind the arc. Averaging 3.5 makes per game. Only reason why line isn’t O/U 3.5 is bc Pels facing Nuggets at home. With Murphy’s volume, it shouldn’t matter.

NOP +7-110

Fly Pelican Fly 🕊️

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 13-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	29-27-1	16-12-1	13-15	22-21-1	7-6
Pelicans	23-33-1	15-13-1	8-20	6-8	17-25-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-22-1	19-10	15-12-1	25-18-1	9-4
Pelicans	32-24-1	18-10-1	14-14	7-6-1	25-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	37-20	N/A	N/A	31-13	6-7
Pelicans	14-43	N/A	N/A	8-6	6-37

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	PHI	W 116-111	-10 L	U 227.5	DEN -450
Mar 26th	MIL	W 129-106	-3.5 W	U 237.5	DEN -160
Mar 22nd	@WAS	W 118-104	-9 W	U 225.5	DEN -385
Mar 19th	@BKN	W 108-102	-3 W	U 228.5	DEN -148
Mar 18th	@NYK	L 110-116	-1 L	U 231.5	NYK -115