Pistons vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - January 23, 2025

Tailing @Steakfriend123

I think this line is too high for Krejci with Jalen back along with everyone healthy for ATL besides Risacher. The L2 w/ Jalen back he's recorded 11 and 17 PRA on 26 and 33 MIN - he played 33 MIN LG due to Dyson in foul trouble throughout the game. Krejci doesn't close the halves, as Hunter will close over him, which will limit his minutes if everyone can stay out of foul trouble. In games w/ Trae/Jalen where he plays 23+ MIN, he's under this line in 3/4 - AVG 13.75 PRA on 6.8 FGA and 12.1 pRA. The only game he went over was on the hook where he played 33 because of foul trouble. L2 50% of his FGA come from C&S looks - DET allow the 7th lowest spot up FREQ%. DET also rank #3 in REB and #7 in AST, so it's not a great RA MU either, especially with Jalen active. Krejci see's a -6% DREB% when Jalen is active and -1.27 AST/100 when Jalen is on the floor. Krejci has seen usages of 15% and 8.6% L2 w/ Jalen back and hasn't topped 15% in games w/ Trae/Jalen both active. In games Krejci has taken 8 or less FGA, he's under in 7/8 games w/ Trae/Jalen while playing 20+ MIN.

#Tailing @PropBomb

“The Great Barrier Thief” gets a rematch vs. Cade and the Pistons where he last met on November 8th and recorded **7 STEALS**. This checks out because according to Cleaning The Glass, amongst comparable players with at least a 29.6% USG rate that played 950 minutes, Cade’s 15.0% turnover rate ranks 5th highest as he is averaging 4.5 turnovers per game. The Detroit Pistons as a unit have been pretty carless with protecting the ball since January leading the league in steals per game (10.18), rank 2nd highest in lost beal and bad pass steals. Dyson ranks 1st by a large margin in deflections per game and averages 3.9 steals per game when playing at home vs. bottom-15 defenses. And when playing 25+ minutes, he has 3+ steals in 8 of the 9 games in this sample size. #PlayerProps

Discussed on Cash That Podcast playable to -170 or 5.5 +$