Rockets vs. Suns Odds & Betting Predictions - March 3, 2024

Collab with @GDAWG5000

After chatting with @TheBMatt, gotta lock in FVV points.

This line is a bit low for Durant even with Bradley Beal (probable-hamstring) likely making his return. This is the front end of a back-to-back and Beal likely will be on a minutes restriction. When Durant has played alongside of Beal, he has averaged 26.6 points and 5.4 assists for 32 PA. He has exceeded his 28.5 PA line in 65% of games with Beal and 77% of games overall. While Durant cedes some Usage to Beal, he is so efficient this is a line he can hit. Over the last month, Houston is just average defensively and they do not have a great counter for KD with Tari Eason continuing to miss time. Besides that, KD has exceeded this line in all 3 games vs Houston this season with 43, 36, and 30 PA. I like Durant to exceed 28.5 PA tonight.

Not the greatest matchup Smith will ever have, but he’s been a monster on the glass. The Rockets have taken on the Suns twice in the last week, and Smith finished with 16 rebounds in both games. He’s over in last 4 games overall (16/17/13/16). On top of that, Smith is 8th in the NBA in rebound chances over the last 3 games, averaging 20.3 rcpg over that span.