NBA Player Props & Pick
Draymond Green
| Prop | Under 21.5 PTS + REB + AST | Play down to 20.5 PRA |
| Time | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | FanDuel |
Green is averaging 21.7 PRA this season, staying under this line in 11 of his 24 games played. The Bucks elite defense will present difficulties for the Warriors in general, and especially the versatile Green.
Milwaukee’s top ranked defense is allowing the second-fewest points and fewest assists per game. The length of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez will make it exceptionally difficult for the Warriors to score in the paint.
Eighty percent of Green’s made baskets (68-of-85) and 53% of his assists (87-of-164) are within 10 feet of the basket. The Bucks interior defense is holding opponents fewest baskets made per game (19.9) on the third-lowest field goal percentage (55.2%) on shots within 10 feet.
It’s a tough draw for Green, who is reportedly battling a sore ankle as is. I have Draymond projected at 18 PRA tonight.
Mikal Bridges
| Prop | Over 17.5 Points (-120) | Over 25.5 PRA also playable |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | BetMGM |
With Devin Booker unavailable again tonight, Bridges should feast in a soft matchup against the Houston Rockets. The two-way dynamo is coming off a 27-point game against the Pelicans in the Suns' first game without Booker this season.
The Rockets rank 28th in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage, which should bode well for Bridges, who is in the top 25th percentile of eFG%.
Without Booker’s 27.4 points per game, Bridges should be in a prime spot to pick up some of the slack. I have the wing with another 20-point performance tonight.
Zion Williamson
| Prop | Over 27.5 Points (+100) | Play up to 28.5 |
| Time | 9 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | DraftKings |
It seems safe to declare Zion Williamson all the way back after missing last season. The athletic phenom is averaging a hair under 25 points per game. Lately, he’s been fantastic, clearing this line in five of his last six games.
The upstart Jazz don’t offer any rim protection, which is an inherent issue when facing Zion. Utah is allowing the second-most made baskets per game at the rim this season, and Williamson is second in the NBA in scoring at the rim.
In fact, the Duke product is six for nine on this line against teams in the bottom 10 of rim protection this season. I expect him to make that seven out of 10 tonight.
