The Louisville Cardinals take on the Boston College Eagles in Chestnut Hill, MA. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ACC Network.
Louisville is favored by 13.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -1200. The total is set at 147 points.
Here are my Louisville vs. Boston College predictions and college basketball picks for February 5, 2025.
Louisville vs Boston College Prediction
My Pick: Louisville -13.5 (Play to -14)
My Louisville vs Boston College best bet is on the Cardinals spread, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Louisville vs Boston College Odds
| Louisville Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -112 | 147 -108o / -112u | -1200 |
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -108 | 147 -108o / -112u | +737 |
- Louisville vs Boston College spread: Louisville -13.5
- Louisville vs Boston College over/under: 147 points
- Louisville vs Boston College moneyline: Louisville -1200, Boston College +750
- Louisville vs Boston College best bet: Louisville -13.5 (Play to -14)
Spread
I'm backing the Cardinals as big road favorites.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm passing on the over/under.
My Pick: Louisville -13.5 (Play to -14)
Louisville vs Boston College College Basketball Betting Preview
The situational spot screams Cardinals.
Louisville finally lost a game, dropping a road contest against Georgia Tech that snapped its 10-game winning streak. Surprisingly, the Cardinals had an okay shooting night (9-for-25 from 3, 36%), but 14 turnovers led to Georgia Tech taking eight more shots.
Regardless, Louisville is in a prime bounce-back spot.
Meanwhile, Boston College is in a prime letdown spot after pulling off a miracle victory over Florida State on Saturday. The Eagles trailed by 15 with 12 minutes left and by four with 14 seconds left before this unbelievable sequence:
Sure, it’s a road game for the Cardinals, but they’re 8-1 ATS on the road and lead the nation in Haslametrics' away-from-home metric. These Cards are road warriors.
The schematic matchup isn’t perfect. Louisville is overly reliant on its catch-and-shoot secondary creations. Meanwhile, Boston College has a surprisingly effective 3-point denial defense (31% 3-point rate allowed, second-lowest in the ACC, per KenPom).
However, the Cardinals love leveraging dribble hand-off sets to pop shooters out into space, and the Eagles have been horrific at stopping those actions (1.05 PPP allowed, seventh percentile, per Synergy).
Chad Venning is vulnerable when forced to move around and defend in space. He can be eaten alive in those dribble hand-off sets or against pick-and-pop actions, which Louisville will utilize to a lesser degree.
On the other end of the court, Boston College plays through Venning in the post and Donald Hand Jr. in perimeter ball-screen actions.
Louisville is a tad undersized on the interior. However, the Cardinals are still an above-average post-up defense (.84 PPP allowed, 55th percentile, per Synergy), and they’re a borderline elite ball-screen coverage squad at the point of attack (.69 pick-and-roll ball-handler PPP allowed, 84th percentile, per Synergy).
Ultimately, I love the spot for the Cardinals, and the schematic matchup is good enough for me.
A few projection systems (Haslametrics, EvanMiya) have them closer to 16-point favorites than 13 points, so I’m willing to buy them at 14 or better.
