Saints vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Saints at Falcons

6:00 pm • FOX
15 - 24

Saints at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Saints
4-7
-2
-1.5-111
o41.5-112
-126
Falcons
6-5
u41.5
+1.5-109
u41.5-110
+108
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
November 26, 2023
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta
Saints vs. Falcons Expert Picks
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
361d ago
Last 30d: 23-36-0 (+2.9u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer+210
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
361d ago
Last 30d: 271-271-8 (+2.5u)
ATL +2-112
0.89u
Under 42-110
0.91u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
361d ago
Last 30d: 126-113-0 (+17.8u)
ATL +1.5-114
$50.00
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
361d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-7.1u)
B.Robinson 2+ TDs+1000
2.5u
@charliedisturco
R.Shaheed Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
@GDAWG5000
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
361d ago
Last 30d: 164-280-2 (-4.5u)
ATL +2-110
0.45u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
361d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
NO -2-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
361d ago
Last 30d: 156-190-1 (-36.3u)
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+135
1.5u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
361d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
ATL +2-110
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
361d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
NO -1.5-110
0.55u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
362d ago
Last 30d: 156-190-1 (-36.3u)
ATL +2-109
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
362d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
B.Robinson o57.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Let Bijan eat
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
362d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NO -125
1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
362d ago
Last 30d: 32-51-0 (+2.2u)
A.Kamara o6.5 Recs+360
0.25u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-12-odds-picks-preview
A.Kamara o9.5 Recs+1550
0.25u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
362d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
B.Robinson 2+ TDs+1000
1.5u
ESPN Bet
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
362d ago
Last 30d: 48-86-2 (+4.2u)
R.Shaheed Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
Bet at FanDuel.
Royals Props
Royals Props
364d ago
Last 30d: 62-48-1 (+10.0u)
A.Kamara o35.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
365d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.3u)
ATL +1-110
1u
Stuckey 2
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
366d ago
Last 30d: 62-40-0 (+8.5u)
ATL +1-115
0.57u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
366d ago
Last 30d: 14-20-0 (+9.6u)
NO -102
1u
Available at FanDuel. Reports Monday were that Derek Carr had yet to clear concussion protocol. But he still needs to pass certain practice barriers to clear, so I'd expect him to have plenty of time to get there by game time. The team will likely be without both Marshon Lattimore and Michael Thomas, but even accounting for those, my model has the Saints favored by 1.7 points here. They're the 14th-ranked team by my model when you ignore a prior versus the Falcons in 24th, and the prior also favors the Saints. The Falcons just haven't been able to move the ball on early downs -- whether via the pass or the rush -- despite an easy schedule thus far. The Saints' defense has also benefited from an easy schedule, but even when you account for that, they rank second in late-down success rate allowed, trailing just the Cleveland Browns. This number could move if we get bad news on Carr, but I'm willing to risk that given there's a pretty big gap between my model and the market right now.
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
367d ago
Last 30d: 19-24-2 (-6.8u)
NO -0.5-107
1u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
367d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 42.5-108
0.93u

PRO Insights

Saints logo

Saints

NO Insights
  • Saints logoThe Falcons have scored 18.9 points per game this season -- ninth-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed 19.8 PPG this season -- eighth-best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Falcons logoThe Falcons are averaging 4.6 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field since Week 8 -- tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Saints have allowed 5.2 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left to RBs since Week 8 -- ninth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Saints vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

  • Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for the 4 ET Slate article feature image

    Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for the 4 ET Slate

    Action Network Staff
    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
  • NFL Best Bets: Sunday Late-Slate Player Props article feature image

    NFL Best Bets: Sunday Late-Slate Player Props

    Action Network Staff
    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
  • NFL Week 12 Picks for Every Game, Every Team article feature image

    NFL Week 12 Picks for Every Game, Every Team

    Brandon Anderson
    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
  • Saints vs. Falcons: Back Ridder, Atlanta at Home article feature image

    Saints vs. Falcons: Back Ridder, Atlanta at Home

    Blake Krass
    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
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Saints vs. Falcons Props

Prop Projections

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Line Movement Tracker

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Saints vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
5-62-43-24-41-2
Saints
5-63-32-31-24-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Falcons
4-72-42-34-40-3
Saints
7-44-23-22-15-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons
6-5N/AN/A5-31-2
Saints
4-7N/AN/A1-23-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 12th@ARIL 23-25-2 LO 43.5ARI -125
Nov 5thMINL 28-31-3.5 LO 38.5MIN -194
Oct 29th@TENL 23-28-2.5 LO 35.5TEN -130
Oct 22nd@TBW 16-13+3 WU 37.5ATL +124
Oct 15thWASL 16-24-2 LU 41.5WAS -125

Saints vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Saints Injuries

  • Jamaal Williams
    RB

    Williams is out with groin

    Out

  • J.T. Gray
    DB

    Gray is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Will Harris
    CB

    Harris is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Erik McCoy
    C

    McCoy is questionable with groin

    Questionable

  • Lucas Patrick
    OL

    Patrick is out with ankle

    Out

  • Shane Lemieux
    G

    Lemieux is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Pete Werner
    LB

    Werner is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Chris Olave
    WR

    Olave is out with concussion

    Out

  • John Ridgeway
    DT

    Ridgeway is questionable with oblique

    Questionable

  • Nephi Sewell
    LB

    Sewell is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Rashid Shaheed
    WR

    Shaheed is out with knee

    Out

  • Kendre Miller
    RB

    Miller is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Nick Saldiveri
    OL

    Saldiveri is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Kool-Aid McKinstry
    DB

    McKinstry is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Bub Means
    WR

    Means is out with ankle

    Out

  • Rico Payton
    CB

    Payton is questionable with back

    Questionable

Falcons Injuries

  • Antonio Hamilton
    CB

    Hamilton is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is out with neck

    Out

  • Charlie Woerner
    TE

    Woerner is out with concussion

    Out

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Dee Alford
    CB

    Alford is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Troy Andersen
    LB

    Andersen is out with knee

    Out

  • Ruke Orhorhoro
    DT

    Orhorhoro is out with ankle

    Out

  • JD Bertrand
    LB

    Bertrand is out with concussion

    Out

Team Stats
444
Total Yards
396
67
Total Plays
62
6.6
Yards Per Play
6.4
304
YDS
168
24/38
Comps/Atts
13/21
7.59
YPA
8
0/1
TDs/INTs
1/2
1/8
Sacks/Yards
0/0
148
Rush Yards
228
28
Attempts
41
5.286
YPC
5.561
0
TDs
1

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
2

Efficiency

0/5 0%
Redzone
1/2 50%
6/14 0%
3rd Down
4/8 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
25
13
Pass
9
6
Rush
15
3
Penalty
1
6/50
Penalties/Yards
5/35
31:34
Possession
28:26

Saints vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

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Saints at Falcons Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Saints
4-7
o21.5-107
u21.5-110
Falcons
6-5
o20.5-104
u20.5-118