Texans vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Luck rankings

Bet No. 3 in our contest. Go sign up at favorites.actionnetwork.com

No. 1 in HOU. Over this number in 7/10 games last year and had 10 targets in one he finished w/ 35. No Marlon Humphrey for BAL should give him an upper hand in what could be breakout year

Schultz was under this line in 10/15 games with the cowboys last regular season. New team, but should have a roughly similar role, with likely less quality targets (I’m high on Stroud going forward, but in week 1 I don’t have him performing better than Dak’s average). Looking at the receiver core, Collins, Dell, Brown and (gulp) Woods all project to have a higher aDOT. Plus, this is a brutal matchup out the jump for a tight end. The Ravens allowed 9 yards per catch by TEs last season - the 5th lowest mark in the NFL, and the 6th fewest TE targets per game. The strength of this defense is up the middle with Smith and Queen at linebacker, and Hamilton and Williams at safety. More questions on the perimeter at cornerback. Schultz should struggle to separate versus the speed of the ravens coverage.

SIMON SAYS

Raybon 3

Adding other half from lookahead.

You already know we’re playing Houston. Number way too high, and Balt breaking in entirely new offense vs organized D. Week 1 underdogs of eight or more are 25-9 ATS (74%) since 2003. Teams that missed the postseason and open as Week 1 road dogs are 51-29-2 ATS (64%) since 2011. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-1-picks-predictions?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson#2

It’s ugly…and it’s the only double-digit spread on the board in Week 1. That’s why @SimonHunterNFL made it his Simon Says on @TheFavoritesPodcast. Gotta grab before it’s gone.

Dogs of more than a touchdown in week 1 are 25-12 in week 1.