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🔬 Ferguson has been targeted 18 times over the last 2 games and now he gets the cover 3 heavy Steelers defense that will bring pressure and force quick passes. With Cook out this game and Ferguson finding holes in the defense and sitting like what made Kelce so good, this is a recipe for success. 🔬Last Week all 16 of Joe Flaccos completions vs the Steelers with around the line of scrimmage or in the middle of the defense. Lamb will move around the offense and draw attention but I’m going up to 6+ receptions here because Ferguson, the 2nd target in this offense should eat the middle of this defense up Sunday night, a weak point in the Steelers defense for many years.

MyCole Pruitt has been ruled out, which matters pretty much only to me. Pruitt has missed the last 2 games, and Freiermuth has posted a snap rate and route participation above 75% in both of them. He's 2nd on the team in target share at 17.4%, behind only George Pickens. Freiermuth has a solid role in the offense, and the playing time is ticking up. Dallas has hardly allowed any production to tight ends, but they've faced an extremely soft TE schedule (Cleveland, New Orleans, Baltimore, New York Giants). David Njoku is the only solid TE the Cowboys have gone up against, and he led Cleveland with 4 catches for 44 yards before leaving early in the 2nd half with an injury. Without Demarcus Lawrence and Micah Parsons, Dallas is going to have a tough time getting pressure on Justin Fields, which is big for the passing game. Volume is the main concern, but the pass attempts are ticking up for Fields, and this should be a competitive game. Freiermuth has 4+ catches in every game this season.

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Ladder this to 300

Fliff