Bills vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Bills at Texans

5:00 pm • CBS

Buffalo Bills

11-3

20 - 23

Houston Texans

9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills 11-3	+1.5	+2-112	o48-108	+105
Texans 9-6	u48	-2-108	u48-111	-125

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 06, 2024

NRG StadiumHouston

BUF +9.5 (Live)-105

Under 48-112

Tailing luck rankings from @nick_giffen

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.15u

Under 47.5-110

0.91u

BUF +1-110

1.1u

K.Coleman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205

1.03u

N.Collins o79.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

HOU -1-105

1.9u

Under 48-112

0.45u

BUF +104

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.15u

@TheBMatt

D.Ogunbowale o10.5 Rec Yds-120

J.Cook o14.5 Rush Att-105

$1000.00

HOU -0.5-110

HOU -1-110

0.91u

HOU -1-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

Under 47.5-110

0.91u

@nick_giffen

HOU -1-110

0.91u

Something doesn’t add up here; the Texans are 0-4 ATS but favored at home vs the Bills. I like this but low spot for the Texans to finally cover a spread in the 2024 season #NFLBestBets

J.Allen o32.5 Rush Yds-120

BUF +104

C.Samuel u16.5 Longest Reception-115

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-curtis-samuel-kamren-curl?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

BUF +1-110

1.1u

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110

1.65u

BUF +1-110

Coming off their worst offensive performance

BUF +100

#ProSystem Road dog off away loss Overall: 87-83-1,51% (ROI:33%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%) Road conference dogs low total Overall: 344-414-2,45% (ROI:19%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:30%)

BUF +1-105

2.1u

J.Allen o20.5 Pass Comp-114

Prop model play from RotoGrinders. Simulation seems to feel the Bills will get away from the run and lean towards high percentage passing.

C.Akers u1.5 Recs-102

1.02u

J.Cook u14.5 Rush Att-110

1.1u

S.Diggs 8+ Receptions Yes+360

0.5u

S.Diggs 10+ Receptions Yes+950

0.25u

S.Diggs 6+ Receptions Yes+128

1.28u

BUF -105

@wheatonbrando

BUF -19.5+1060

0.15u

BUF -9.5+350

0.25u

Bills esc

BUF +100

TAN pod / best bets

S.Diggs u54.5 Rec Yds-115

But but but revenge game

Under 47.5-115

#LuckRankings Luck Under

HOU -105

0.38u

More Bills injuries

HOU +1.5-120

0.83u

HOU +1.5-110

Raybon2

HOU -105

0.95u

Pickem

HOU +1.5-120

Teams opening as dog and close as fav 71-100 since 2019 (bills). CJ as a dog 6-3 ATS

HOU +1.5-120

0.83u

N.Collins o78.5 Rec Yds-119

1.19u

J.Cook o81.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

Bounce back game for the Bills with a high total of 48.0. It’s no secret OC Joe Brady wants to pound the rock with James Cook. The Bills have made it clear they want to involve him early in the running and the receiving game which is when their offense is at its best. With all of the focus on slowing down Josh Allen, I think Cook has himself a day Within the last 2 weeks, Aaron Jones went for 148 combined RR, Jags RBs combined for 140 just on the ground and with the Bills favored on the road I think Cook continues to have success vs the Texans on the ground. Texans have generated pressure at a top 10 rate which should lead to screens and checkdowns where Cool has been excellent

T.Dell Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350

0.5u

BUF -112

Much better stylistic matchup for the Bills than last week as the Texans aren't necessarily a bully-ball team. Think the Bills' offense can also exploit the Texans' deficiencies at linebacker.

Featured Insight
The Bills have allowed 5.3 passing yards per attempt on play action passes this season -- 7th-best in NFL; the Texans have allowed 8.7 yards per dropback on play action passes this season -- T-5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 31.0% on 3rd and long this season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Bills defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.0% when defending on 3rd and long this season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	6-9	3-4	3-5	4-7	2-2
Bills	9-5	4-2	5-3	7-3	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	5-10	1-6	4-4	4-7	1-3
Bills	9-5	5-1	4-4	8-2	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	9-6	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-4
Bills	11-3	N/A	N/A	9-1	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	JAC	W 24-20	-5.5 L	U 44.5	HOU -230
Sep 22nd	@MIN	L 7-34	-1.5 L	U 46.5	MIN -118
Sep 16th	CHI	W 19-13	-6.5 L	U 45.5	HOU -289
Sep 8th	@IND	W 29-27	-3 L	O 48	HOU -154
Aug 24th	LA	W 17-15	-4 L	U 33.5	HOU -205

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable

Folorunso Fatukasi
DT
Fatukasi is out with ankle
Out
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with calf
Questionable
Juice Scruggs
OL
Scruggs is out with foot
Out
Cade Stover
TE
Stover is out with illness
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Curtis Samuel
WR
Samuel is questionable with ribs
Questionable
Rasul Douglas
CB
Douglas is questionable with knee
Questionable
Matt Milano
LB
Milano is questionable with biceps
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is questionable with neck
Questionable
Casey Toohill
DE
Toohill is questionable with ribs
Questionable
Damar Hamlin
S
Hamlin is questionable with back
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Dorian Williams
LB
Williams is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Tylan Grable
OL
Grable is out with groin
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Bills

Total

Texans

276

Total Yards

425

Total Plays

4.7

Yards Per Play

6.3

Bills

Passing

Texans

131

YDS

331

9/30

Comps/Atts

28/38

4.065

YPA

8.487

1/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

1/5

Sacks/Yards

1/0

Bills

Rushing

Texans

150

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.357

YPC

3.357

TDs

Bills

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bills

Efficiency

Texans

1/3 33.33%

Redzone

1/2 50%

3/14 0%

3rd Down

8/16 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Bills

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bills

Misc

Texans

4/25

Penalties/Yards

7/65

26:50

Possession

33:10

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MatchupOverUnder
Bills 11-3	o23.5-110	u23.5-110
Texans 9-6	o24.5+100	u24.5-120

Bills vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Bills at Texans

Buffalo Bills

Houston Texans

Bills at Texans Odds

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Bills

Texans

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Bills vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Bills vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Bills

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Texans vs. Bills Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

Bills Injuries

Bills vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Bills at Texans Team Totals