Angels vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Angels at Red Sox

5:35 pm • BSW

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

4 - 5

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
T.Anderson			3.81	10-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	+1.5-177	o10-116	+113
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+147	u10-103	-133

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -1.5+155

BOS -130 (F5)

T.Anderson u5.5 Ks-115

Playing with fire a bit, because this Red Sox team is a bit K prone, but this line is still too high for Anderson, who is consistently a sub 20% K% pitcher. Stayed below this line in 18/25 starts last year, and 2/2 so far this season (only 8 Ks in 14 IP).

T.Anderson u5.5 Ks-105

0.48u

Ballpark pal projects 4.69 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of -155 showing value at this number

BOS -122 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -129

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Featured Insight
Angels have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 28% over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox scored 5.0 runs per game at home last season -- eighth highest in MLB (81 games). The Angels allowed 5.2 runs per game on the road last season -- fourth highest in MLB (81 games).

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Angels are just 12-52 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Angels are just 15-74 (.169) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Red Sox are just 39-51 (.433) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Mike Trout has 11 home runs on fastballs down since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Brayan Bello has located his fastball down 41% of the time since the 2022 season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Mickey Moniak struck out in 35% of PA's last season -- tied for sixth highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- second Percentile. Pete Fairbanks had a strikeout rate of 37% last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 98th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 72% (126/174) this season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Brayan Bello on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for best among in AL; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105
Apr 12th	LAA	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAA -115
Apr 11th	BAL	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +110
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117
Apr 9th	BAL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +110

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	93	4.1	4	3
RA.Cimber, P	10	0.2	0	0
LJ.Suarez, P	48	2	3	2
RJ.Cisnero, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rendon, 3B	2-3	0	0	1
2L.Rengifo, 2B	0-5	0	0	1
3M.Trout, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4T.Ward, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5A. Hicks, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Drury, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
7L.O'Hoppe, C	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Adell, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Moniak, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9Z.Neto, SS	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	107	5.1	8	2
RJ.Slaten, P	34	2.2	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	25	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-3	1	0	0
1J.Duran, CF	0-3	1	0	0
2P.Reyes, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
2P.Reyes, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, RF	2-3	1	1	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	2-3	1	1	1
4T.Casas, 1B	1-2	1	1	1
5B.Dalbec, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, PH	0-1	1	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	0-1	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	1	1	2
7C.Wong, C	2-4	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, SS	0-4	0	0	0