Astros vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023
Astros at Red Sox
11:10 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
B.Bello | 4.24 | 12-11 | ||
J.France | 3.83 | 11-6 |
Astros at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | -1.5+162 | o10.5-106 | +102 | |
Red Sox 0-0 | +1.5-195 | u10.5-114 | -120 |
Tuesday 11:10 p.m.
August 29, 2023Fenway ParkBoston
Astros vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Jim Sannes
453d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+10.5u)
J.Turner o0.5 HR+500
0.5u
Available at FanDuel. Turner isn't typically a guy you'd covet against a righty, but JP France has massive reverse platoon splits. He has a 33.3% ground-ball rate against righties compared to 56.1% against lefties. Righties have a .471 slugging percentage off of him as a result. Turner has also shown a bit more juice recently with his barrel rate up to 9.8% in the month of August. It's still not *high*, but it's better than it was. His ISO is .266 in this span, and he has five homers, two of which have come in the past three games. The Green Monster can be a blessing and a curse, but it's more the former with Turner's fly-ball rate up to 52.9% this month. If you're looking for a Dinger Tuesday bet, Turner's my favorite for tonight.
Tanner McGrath
453d ago
Last 30d: 81-73-3 (+0.3u)
BOS -120 (F5)
0.6u
BOS -120
0.6u
Jim Sannes
453d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+10.5u)
BOS -120
1.2u
Available at FanDuel. I was on Boston last night, too, which didn't go well. But my model is showing value again tonight. When the Red Sox faced JP France last week, they chased him after 2 1/3 innings as he allowed 10 earned runs down in Houston. That was a downtick in his results, but the peripherals had been lagging for a while. Over his past 10 outings, France has a 4.74 SIERA, and his hard-hit rate is about average at 38.9%. Maybe he's a guy who can outrun his peripherals, but usually that type of thing is tied to elite batted-ball data. On the opposing side, Brayan Bello held Houston to one run over seven innings last week, pushing his ERA down to 3.41 in 12 starts with more sinkers. My model has Boston at 56.9% to win, up from 54.6% implied.
Sean Zerillo
453d ago
Last 30d: 33-66-1 (-10.2u)
Under 10.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 10 (-112)
PRO Insights
Astros
HOU Insights
- Featured InsightThe Red Sox have scored first in just 47% of their games since last season -- 10th-lowest in MLB. The Astros have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since last season -- fifth-lowest in MLB.
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Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightAstros Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third-lowest in MLB. Red SoxRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third-lowest in MLB.
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Astros vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Astros vs. Red Sox Box Score
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ.France, P | 93 | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | |
RR.Montero, P | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
RH.Neris, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RB.Abreu, P | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Altuve, 2B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Bregman, 3B | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
3Y.Alvarez, DH | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4K.Tucker, RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Abreu, 1B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6M. Brantley, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7Y.Diaz, C | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Dubon, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
9J.Pena, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Bello, P | 82 | 4.2 | 2 | 2 | |
LJ.Jacques, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
RJ.Schreiber, P | 13 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
RJ.Winckowski, P | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
RM. Llovera, P | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1A.Verdugo, RF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Devers, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Turner, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4M.Yoshida, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5A.Duvall, CF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6T.Casas, 1B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7T.Story, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8R.McGuire, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9D.Hamilton, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Astros vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Astros at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | N/A | N/A |
Red Sox 0-0 | N/A | N/A |