Astros vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Astros at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN
6 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Brayan Bello logoB.BelloBoston Red Sox logo4.2412-11
J.P. France logoJ.FranceHouston Astros logo3.8311-6

Astros at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
0-2
-1.5+162
o10.5-106
+102
Red Sox
0-0
+1.5-195
u10.5-114
-120
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
August 29, 2023
Fenway ParkBoston
Astros vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
433d ago
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (-6.2u)
J.Turner o0.5 HR+500
0.5u
Available at FanDuel. Turner isn't typically a guy you'd covet against a righty, but JP France has massive reverse platoon splits. He has a 33.3% ground-ball rate against righties compared to 56.1% against lefties. Righties have a .471 slugging percentage off of him as a result. Turner has also shown a bit more juice recently with his barrel rate up to 9.8% in the month of August. It's still not *high*, but it's better than it was. His ISO is .266 in this span, and he has five homers, two of which have come in the past three games. The Green Monster can be a blessing and a curse, but it's more the former with Turner's fly-ball rate up to 52.9% this month. If you're looking for a Dinger Tuesday bet, Turner's my favorite for tonight.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
433d ago
Last 30d: 71-81-6 (-20.0u)
BOS -120 (F5)
0.6u
BOS -120
0.6u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
433d ago
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (-6.2u)
BOS -120
1.2u
Available at FanDuel. I was on Boston last night, too, which didn't go well. But my model is showing value again tonight. When the Red Sox faced JP France last week, they chased him after 2 1/3 innings as he allowed 10 earned runs down in Houston. That was a downtick in his results, but the peripherals had been lagging for a while. Over his past 10 outings, France has a 4.74 SIERA, and his hard-hit rate is about average at 38.9%. Maybe he's a guy who can outrun his peripherals, but usually that type of thing is tied to elite batted-ball data. On the opposing side, Brayan Bello held Houston to one run over seven innings last week, pushing his ERA down to 3.41 in 12 starts with more sinkers. My model has Boston at 56.9% to win, up from 54.6% implied.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
434d ago
Last 30d: 91-112-4 (-9.5u)
Under 10.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 10 (-112)

PRO Insights

Astros logo

Astros

HOU Insights
  • Astros logoThe Red Sox have scored first in just 47% of their games since last season -- 10th-lowest in MLB. The Astros have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since last season -- fifth-lowest in MLB.
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Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoAstros Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third-lowest in MLB. Red SoxRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third-lowest in MLB.
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Astros vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Astros vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 28thHOUL 5-13-1.5 LO 10HOU -130
Aug 27thLADL 4-7+1.5 LO 9.5LAD +100
Aug 26thLADW 8-5+1.5 WO 10BOS +108
Aug 25thLADL 4-7+1.5 LO 10LAD +108
Aug 24th@HOUW 17-1+1.5 WO 8.5BOS +125

Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jose Urquidy
    P

    Urquidy is out with arm

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Astros vs. Red Sox Box Score
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
J.P. France logoRJ.France, P935.232
Rafael Montero logoRR.Montero, P281.120
Hector Neris logoRH.Neris, P11100
Bryan Abreu logoRB.Abreu, P25110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B0-5000
Alex Bregman logo2A.Bregman, 3B3-5212
Yordan Alvarez logo3Y.Alvarez, DH3-5111
Kyle Tucker logo4K.Tucker, RF1-3000
Jose Abreu logo5J.Abreu, 1B1-3101
Michael Brantley logo6M. Brantley, LF0-4000
Yainer Diaz logo7Y.Diaz, C0-3100
Mauricio Dubon logo8M.Dubon, CF1-4102
Jeremy Pena logo9J.Pena, SS0-3000
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brayan Bello logoRB.Bello, P824.222
Joe Jacques logoLJ.Jacques, P14111
John Schreiber logoRJ.Schreiber, P130.101
Josh Winckowski logoRJ.Winckowski, P36201
Mauricio Llovera logoRM. Llovera, P15100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Alex Verdugo logo1A.Verdugo, RF2-5100
Rafael Devers logo2R.Devers, 3B1-4000
Justin Turner logo3J.Turner, DH0-4001
Masataka Yoshida logo4M.Yoshida, LF0-4000
Adam Duvall logo5A.Duvall, CF2-4111
Triston Casas logo6T.Casas, 1B1-2000
Trevor Story logo7T.Story, SS0-4000
Reese McGuire logo8R.McGuire, C0-3000
David Hamilton logo9D.Hamilton, 2B0-3000

Astros vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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Astros at Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Astros
0-2
N/A
N/A
Red Sox
0-0
N/A
N/A