Blue Jays vs. Angels Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2023

Blue Jays at Angels

1:07 am • BSSC

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

5 - 9

Los Angeles Angels

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Anderson			5.43	6-6
J.Berrios			3.65	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 11-6	+1.5-180	o9.5-105	+110
Angels 8-9	-1.5+145	u9.5-115	-130

Sunday 1:07 a.m.

April 09, 2023

Angel StadiumAnaheim

LAA -113

LAA +2.5 (Live)+105

0.53u

LAA -1.5+150

1.5u

B.Belt u0.5 Hits-105

1 hit in 21 PAs this season, with 12 strikeouts. Looks pretty bad. Hitting 8th against a lefty - he’s 3/19 in his career vs Anderson (and bad vs lefties in general).

LAA o2.5 (F5)-120

$50.00

S.Ohtani o0.5 HR+300

0.5u

Over 9.5+120

1.2u

purewage +EV

LAA -118

LAA -130 (F5)

0.77u

LAA -125

LAA -120 (F5)

D.Jansen o0.5 HR+600

0.2u

Bet365: Jansen is a fly ball hitter who gets even more lift against lefties (48% career fly ball rate) and Tyler Anderson has allowed a 42%+ fly ball rate in 4 straight seasons. Angel Stadium is a great place to hit and Jansen would have ~10% more career HRs if he played there every game. Projecting this closer to +390

S.Ohtani o0.5 HR+360

0.1u

S.Ohtani o0.5 HR+360

0.3u

Bet at Caesars. Betting 0.1U on 2B and HR for each player I like today. For Ohtani, betting 0.3U on HR because I like this one the most.

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-125

0.2u

Via MattyChucks

S.Ohtani o0.5 Doubles+360

0.36u

Bet at Bet365. Betting 0.1U on 2B and HR for each player I like today.

G.Springer o0.5 Doubles+390

0.25u

Bet365 11:46.

G.Springer o0.5 HR+450

1.13u

Bet365 11:45.

M.Trout o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.94u

Bet365 11:44.

LAA -117

0.21u

LAA -125 (F5)

0.2u

Split F5/Game

LAA -108 (F5)

0.28u

Fading Berrios here

LAA -115

LAA -108 (F5)

0.75u

Bet to -117. Projected edge regardless, didn’t change a thing in the model yet (and didn’t bet against him in his first start either) but Berrios is entering auto fade territory. Bumped this to 0.75u. Only risk this moves against us is if Ohtani or Trout sit which is likelier on Sunday

LAA -110 (F5)

Found a bad line at Bet365 so went ahead and slammed it. Rare 1u MLB play.

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The Angels are just 8-39 (.170) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Blue Jays are 81-20 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-69 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Alejandro Kirk batted just .152 with RISP over the last 30 days -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Opponents batted just .050 (1-for-20) against Tyler Anderson with RISP over the last 30 days -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Mike Trout batted .302 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Jose Berrios threw his curveball 31% of the time last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Angels are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Angels' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Angels' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	TOR	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	TOR -148
Apr 5th	@SEA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	LAA -174
Apr 5th	@SEA	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA +150
Apr 4th	@SEA	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 7	LAA +118
Apr 2nd	@ATH	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	LAA -163

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	71	4	5	4
RA.Cimber, P	15	1	0	1
RT.Richards, P	13	1	1	0
RZ.Pop, P	16	1	1	0
RA. Bass, P	24	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	2-5	2	1	1
2B.Bichette, SS	3-4	1	1	2
3V.Guerrero, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
5D.Varsho, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Merrifield, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8B. Belt, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	88	4.2	4	5
RJ. Barria, P	15	1	2	0
RR. Tepera, P	19	1	0	0
LA. Loup, P	2	0.1	0	0
LJ.Quijada, P	18	1	2	0
RC.Estevez, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Ward, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	1-3	2	1	3
3S.Ohtani, DH	1-3	1	0	0
4A.Rendon, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
5H.Renfroe, RF	2-4	1	1	3
6J. Lamb, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Drury, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8L.Rengifo, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
9M.Thaiss, C	0-4	1	0	0