Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2023

Blue Jays at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN2

Toronto Blue Jays

6-3

6 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4
Y.Kikuchi			3.87	11-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 6-3	-1.5+164	o8-106	-105
Orioles 4-4	+1.5-200	u8-114	-112

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

August 22, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -114

$1140.00

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny

Under 8-105

1.05u

BAL -115 (F5)

0.58u

Bet to -117

R.Mountcastle o0.5 HR+600

0.15u

Bet365 10:15.

A.Rutschman o0.5 HR+825

0.15u

Bet365 10:15.

R.Mountcastle o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.75u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/blue-jays-vs-orioles-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-tuesday-august-22

BAL -120

1.2u

G.Rodriguez u5.5 Ks+124

1.24u

Available at FanDuel. Rodriguez has looked great since coming back up, leaning more on his slider and less on his curveball, and it has led to a big shift in his results. His strikeout numbers still haven't been crazy high, though, as he has maxed out at six strikeouts in nine starts (including three before his demotion) with this new approach. His swinging-strike rate is high, so the strikeouts could rise, but this is a tough opponent for that. The Jays' active roster has a 21.6% strikeout rate against righties. I like Rodriguez a lot and think he should pitch well here -- I'm just not sure that'll translate to a ton of strikeouts. I have him projected for 5.2 here.

A.Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases+145

1.09u

Bet365 8:30 am EST.

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

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See more MLB Coverage

The Orioles are 22-11 (.667) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .667 this season -- 11th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Felix Bautista has allowed an OPS of just .477 (229 PAs) this season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle has a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 15th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .244 (11-for-45) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .548 (17-for-31) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .353 -- 0 Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (70/95) over the last 30 days (4 games) -- 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 20th	@ATH	W 12-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -197
Aug 20th	@ATH	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -178
Aug 19th	@ATH	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -210
Aug 17th	@SD	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	SD +154
Aug 16th	@SD	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -109

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	82	4.2	6	3
RY.Garcia, P	11	0.1	0	0
RT.Richards, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Hicks, P	9	1	1	0
RE.Swanson, P	15	1	3	0
LT.Mayza, P	20	1	0	0
RJ.Romano, P	8	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Merrifield, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3B. Belt, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4V.Guerrero, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
5G.Springer, RF	0-4	1	0	0
6D.Varsho, LF	2-5	1	1	2
7M.Chapman, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	2-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	94	6	5	3
RJ.Webb, P	12	0.2	1	0
LC.Perez, P	6	0.1	1	0
RY.Cano, P	19	1	2	0
RF.Bautista, P	9	1	0	0
RM.Baumann, P	19	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	2-5	1	0
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0
3G.Henderson, 3B	1-5	1	0
4A.Hays, LF	1-4	0	1
5J.Westburg, 2B	2-5	0	1
6J.McCann, C	1-3	0	0
6R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0
8R.McKenna, RF	1-4	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	1-4	1	0