Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2023
Blue Jays at Pirates
5:35 pm • SportsNet PTStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 6.59 | 3-7 | |
 |  | 3.87 | 11-6 |
Blue Jays at Pirates Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 12-8 | -1.5+120 | o9-102 | -130 | |
Pirates 8-13 | +1.5-145 | u9-115 | +110 | |
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+1.2u)
PIT +123
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
PIT +110 (F5)
0.5u
Bet to +104
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 58-47-0 (+5.9u)
PIT +110
1u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 95-132-3 (-11.5u)
PIT o3.5-150
1u
The Great Foosini
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-112
1.2u
+100
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 209-223-6 (-0.9u)
PIT o4.5+110
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
PIT +120
0.5u
Bet to +114
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Notes
Keys to the Game
The Pirates are just 12-37 (.245) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Blue Jays are just 3-7 (.300) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Blue Jays are 36-40 (.474) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Matchup Contrasts
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. batted .391 on the road over the last 30 days -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Opponents batted .302 (19-for-63) against Rich Hill at home over the last 30 days -- tied for ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 12th Percentile.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 13 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Rich Hill threw his curveball 47% of the time last season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB-- 100th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Roansy Contreras has not struck out any hitters in 28 PA's in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.
Roansy Contreras walked 4 of 18 right-handed batters (22%) -- highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .773 (163 Total Bases / 211 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .554 -- 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (75 balls in play) -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Pirates are 2-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Pirates' 11 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pirates vs. Blue Jays Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
- Johan OviedoP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
- Jared JonesP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
- Jared TrioloIF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
- Spencer HorwitzIF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Blue Jays Injuries
- Daulton VarshoOF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
- Alek ManoahP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Box Score
Blue Jays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 93 | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 94 | 5 | 4 | 5 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds Comparison
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Blue Jays at Pirates Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 12-8 | N/A | N/A |
Pirates 8-13 | N/A | N/A |