Pirates vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023

Pirates at Rays

5:10 pm • BSSUN

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

2 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
V. Velasquez			3.86	4-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-130	o8-119	+157
Rays 0-0	-1.5+110	u8-103	-192

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 04, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -1.5+105

Over 8-119

PIT +0.5 (F5)+102

1.2u

+110

Over 7.5-115

1.1u

Project 8.9; low strikeout rate for these lineups v right hand pitching. Each lineup >> 108 wRC+ v righties.

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 4, 2023 UTC

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The Rays are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Rays are 3-2 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Pirates are just 39-60 (.394) on the road since last season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Pirates are 12-9 (.571) when underdogs this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Yandy Diaz is batting .350 on breaking pitches this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Vince Velasquez has thrown his slider 42% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Wander Franco is slugging just .182 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Vince Velasquez has thrown his slider 42% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (9/41) against Vince Velasquez vs left-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (59/144) against Zach Eflin this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 7	TB -210
May 2nd	PIT	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TB -164
Apr 30th	@CWS	L 9-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -193
Apr 29th	@CWS	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	TB -142
Apr 28th	@CWS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -164

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RV. Velasquez, P	54	3	2	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	21	1	1	1
RD. Underwood, P	32	2	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	9	1	3	0
RR.Stephenson, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Marcano, SS	0-3	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	2
4M.Andujar, PR	0-0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0
6C.Joe, RF	0-4	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	1-3	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	0-3	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-2	0	0
9R.Castro, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	80	7	10
RR.Thompson, P	8	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	25	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
2W. Franco, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	1	1	1
4J.Lowe, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Walls, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
7L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Margot, CF	0-2	0	0	0