Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2024
Blue Jays at Rays
8:10 pm • BSSUNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 4.11 | 8-11 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.47 | 1-8 |
Blue Jays at Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Blue Jays 12-9 | +1.5 | +1.5-185 | o7.5-108 | +120 |
![]() Rays 9-12 | u8 | -1.5+154 | u7.5-112 | -142 |

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Blue Jays vs. Rays Expert Picks

Picks Office
Last 30d: 93-73-3 (+15.4u)
TB -130
0.77u
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The Blue Jays come into this matchup with a record of 73-80 and have been inconsistent at best, particularly in their hitting. Toronto’s team slash line of .242/.314/.394 ranks them 15th, 13th, and 17th in the majors, signaling a middle-of-the-pack offensive output. On the road, the numbers dip slightly to .239/.313/.387, showing their struggles away from home. Despite the modest offensive numbers, there are some encouraging signs when facing Taj Bradley.
The concern for the Blue Jays centers around their starting pitcher, Yariel Rodriguez, who has struggled this season. With a 1-6 record and a 4.29 ERA, Rodriguez hasn’t been able to give Toronto consistent outings, especially on the road, where he sports a 4.95 ERA. The Blue Jays’ bullpen has also been suspect, contributing to their overall team ERA of 4.26, which ranks 22nd in the majors. This lack of pitching depth, particularly in the later innings, could be their undoing.
Tampa Bay, on the other hand, enters this contest at 75-78. While the Rays have had their own struggles this season, their team ERA of 3.83, which ranks 10th in the league, suggests their pitching staff has been more reliable. Taj Bradley, while not elite, has a respectable 4.39 ERA, though his home record of 3-7 with a 4.05 ERA indicates some vulnerability. However, he’s facing a Toronto lineup that’s been underwhelming, especially in key spots on the road. Tropicana Field has historically been a tough venue for the Blue Jays, and Bradley should be able to limit damage from the middle of their lineup.
The Rays’ offensive inconsistencies are notable, but with Toronto’s unreliable pitching, especially with Rodriguez on the mound and a shaky bullpen behind him, Tampa Bay holds the advantage. Toronto’s road record of 43-35 is decent, but this is a matchup where the Rays can capitalize on a vulnerable Toronto staff. Despite both teams having disappointing seasons, Tampa Bay’s superior pitching and the Blue Jays' struggles at Tropicana Field make the Rays a strong play in this spot.
PRO Insights

Blue Jays
TOR Insights
- Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have allowed just 1.5 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (12 games). The Rays have scored just 1.5 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (13 games).
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Rays
TB Insights
- Featured Insight
Rays have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Blue Jays right-handed hitters have struck out 32% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Blue Jays vs. Rays Previews & Analysis
Blue Jays vs. Rays Notes
Keys to the Game
The Rays are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
Yandy Diaz is batting .281 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Brendon Little has thrown his curveball 33% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.
Spencer Horwitz is slugging .692 over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Taj Bradley has allowed a SLG of .533 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- 13th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of 1.204 (27 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .614 -- second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (65/188) against Taj Bradley when he's behind in the count this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Blue Jays vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 0-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Rays' 18 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injury Updates

Rays Injuries
- Josh LoweOF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
- Alex FaedoP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
- Shane McClanahanP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
- Richie PalaciosIF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
- Ha-Seong KimIF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
- Jonny DeLucaOF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Blue Jays Injuries
- Daulton VarshoOF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
- Alek ManoahP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Blue Jays vs. Rays Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 81 | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
![]() | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 12 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 7 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 103 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |
![]() | 18 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 28 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds Comparison
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Blue Jays at Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Blue Jays 12-9 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |
![]() Rays 9-12 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |