Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2025
Blue Jays at Red Sox
10:45 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.50 | 0-2 | |
 |  | 4.59 | 1-1 |
Blue Jays at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 8-5 | +1.5 | +1.5-185 | o8-118 | +110 |
Red Sox 6-7 | u8.5 | -1.5+154 | u8-105 | -130 |
Fenway ParkBoston
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 97-131-8 (+3.2u)
TOR +115
0.58u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 65-49-2 (+3.6u)
R.Fitts u2.5 Earned Runs-140
0.7u
Just a sprinkle here. Projecting him to go 5 innings so just need him to be efficient 🤞
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 349-416-17 (+21.4u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-166
0.93u
2.81% ev
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 207-247-6 (-31.7u)
Under 8-105
1.05u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 38-68-0 (-33.2u)
TOR +108
2.7u
🔑 Blue Jays ML +108 (FanDuel) 2.5u
Red Sox coming off a double header. Berrios was bad his 1st start but looked better his second, I like this spot for him tn. Fitts came out of nowhere this spring and I feel the Blue Jays can get to him tn. Love fading a team off a double header sweep. Vladdy gonna earn that contract tn
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 112-139-10 (-7.3u)
BOS -126
0.25u
ONLY IF YOU BET TORONTO. Taking a piece off Jays ML. Make Boston -110 after pitching change to Berrios. Under 8.5 good to -115
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 111-127-5 (-2.4u)
BOS -117
1u
#BQ
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 102-101-6 (-1.4u)
J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-104
0.96u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 349-416-17 (+21.4u)
R.Fitts u5.5 Hits Allowed-110
0.43u
1.96% ev
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 154-156-3 (-7.1u)
W.Abreu o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+117
1u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 111-127-5 (-2.4u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+540
0.1u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 72-62-0 (+13.7u)
BOS -134
1u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 208-163-40 (+35.6u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-140
1u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 104-114-6 (-13.9u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+525
0.25u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 83-66-1 (+13.6u)
Under 9-105
0.95u
Easton Lucas generates 53.8% groundballs – keeps hitters off barrels. Richard Fitts allows just 45% flyballs and no barrels so far. Both arms suppress lift and exit velo. Toronto’s lineup hitting just .257 with a 4.21 ERA allowed. Boston better but inflated by Abreu.
Lucas dominates the zone – 71.9% swing rate on strikes, no barrels allowed. Fitts commands well – 60.6% in-zone rate, 76.7% swing rate. Both catchers pop fast and control the run game – less chaos, less scoring. Fenway winds blowing in early April = dead ball.
Neither team red-hot: Jays 0-3 on the road, scoring 2.7 runs/game in those. Red Sox 3-4 in last 7 vs AL teams, despite 5-game streak. No lineup updates yet, but early game + cold + sharp starters = slugfest unlikely.
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 76-54-0 (+12.4u)
BOS -130
1.3u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 116-119-9 (-7.5u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500
0.4u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 22-43-1 (-1.8u)
E.Lucas o4.5 Ks+180
0.8u
In the alt market. Red Sox's active roster has a 25.9% strikeout rate against lefties since the start of last year. 14.9% swinging-strike rate for Lucas in his first start this year.
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 81-80-2 (+0.0u)
TOR +115
3.45u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 112-139-10 (-7.3u)
TOR +120
0.6u
Update: Small to +120 after pitching change; can take a piece off
Under 9-105
0.5u
Bet to 8.5, -115
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 115-75-1 (+78.6u)
Under 9-108
0.93u
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Under 9-108
0.93u
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Blue Jays Injuries
- Daulton VarshoOF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
- Alek ManoahP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
- Connor WongC
Wong is out with finger
Out
- Patrick SandovalP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Brayan BelloP
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
- Masataka YoshidaOF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Box Score
Blue Jays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 102 | 6 | 4 | 3 | |
 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Blue Jays at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 8-5 | o3.5-137 | u3.5+107 |
Red Sox 6-7 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |