Braves vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2023

Braves at Brewers

12:10 am • BSWI

Atlanta Braves

0-2

6 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.86	12-10
M.Soroka			6.40	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+130	o9-120	-124
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-156	u9+100	+105

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

July 22, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

ATL o4.5-120

MIL +103

0.4u

MIL +106

Available at FanDuel. I understand why this number is here, given how absurd the Braves are, but I think it undersells Freddy Peralta a bit. In eight starts with increased slider usage, Peralta has a 3.61 SIERA and a 31.1% strikeout rate. He's facing Michael Soroka, who looked decent in his final start before the All-Star Break, but even there, he walked three batters compared to four strikeouts. His SIERA in five outings is 4.68. I've got the Brewers as the favorites in this game, so at +106, I'm more than fine riding with the moneyline.

MIL +115

0.5u

Bet to +110

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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .943 with RISP since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has allowed an OPS of .968 (142 PAs) with RISP since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP-- second Percentile.

Ozzie Albies has an OPS of .685 with two strikes this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Freddy Peralta has allowed an OPS of .614 (233 PAs) with two strikes this season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	@PHI	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 9	MIL -110
Jul 19th	@PHI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +124
Jul 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	PHI +166
Jul 16th	@CIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 11	MIL +118
Jul 15th	@CIN	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +104

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Soroka, P	87	6	4	4
RB.Heller, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	17	1	2	0
RK.Yates, P	32	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	2
7E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	97	5	5	6
RB.Wilson, P	37	3	5	0
RJ. Mejía, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-4	2	0	1
3W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Winker, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5V.Caratini, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Monasterio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Perkins, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9R. Tapia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9R. Tapia, RF	0-1	0	0	0