Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Braves at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

7-6

14 - 6

Miami Marlins

5-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			3.66	9-7
K.Wright			6.97	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-6	-1.5+114	o8.5-110	-145
Marlins 5-8	+1.5-138	u8.5-110	+120

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

May 03, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +120

Via Kenny Ducey

K.Wright o4.5 Ks-140

0.56u

MIA +121

0.4u

Over 8-120

0.83u

B.Garrett u16.5 Outs-125

Garrett has pitched well this season, but has been on a short leash that’s resulted in him staying under this line in 3/5 games. Coming off a 47 pitch performance vs the Braves, he could once again be limited with his pitch count. Plus, ATL ranks in the top 5 of OPS and wRC+ vs LHP, and 7th in pitches per plate appearance.

MIA +1.5-142

1.42u

MIA +123

0.4u

Ignore previous one. Put it in under wrong day

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The Braves are 4-2 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Braves are 87-10 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Jacob Stallings is slugging just .280 since last season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 283 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kyle Wright has allowed a SLG of just .299 vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has a groundball rate of 55% this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% against Kyle Wright this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has thrown his curveball 66% of the time (59/90) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (308/552) against Kyle Wright since last season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	ATL	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -120
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +150
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -125
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +104
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +145

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Wright, P	55	2	3	3
RC. McHugh, P	41	3	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	26	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	16	1	2	2
RK.Yates, P	17	1	3	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	2	1	3
2M.Olson, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
4S.Murphy, C	2-3	1	0	0
5O.Albies, 2B	4-5	2	1	2
6V.Grissom, SS	1-5	1	0	0
7M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	3	2	5
8K.Pillar, LF	3-5	2	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	1	1	2
9S.Hilliard, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	85	4.1	3	11
LD. Smeltzer, P	47	3.2	2	3
RJ.Stallings, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	0	0	0
1P.Burdick, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-5	0	0	0
3Y.Gurriel, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
4X.Edwards, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
5J.Sanchez, LF	3-4	3	1	2
5J.Sanchez, RF	3-4	3	1	2
6J. Segura, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	2-4	0	0	2
9J.Berti, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	0-3	0	0	0