Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Braves at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

0-2

14 - 6

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			3.66	9-7
K.Wright			6.97	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+114	o8.5-110	-145
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-138	u8.5-110	+120

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

May 03, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +125

MIA +120

Via Kenny Ducey

K.Wright o4.5 Ks-140

0.56u

MIA +121

0.4u

Over 8-120

0.83u

B.Garrett u16.5 Outs-125

Garrett has pitched well this season, but has been on a short leash that’s resulted in him staying under this line in 3/5 games. Coming off a 47 pitch performance vs the Braves, he could once again be limited with his pitch count. Plus, ATL ranks in the top 5 of OPS and wRC+ vs LHP, and 7th in pitches per plate appearance.

MIA +123

0.4u

Ignore previous one. Put it in under wrong day

ATL -140 (F5)

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The Braves are 4-2 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Braves are 87-10 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Jacob Stallings is slugging just .280 since last season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 283 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kyle Wright has allowed a SLG of just .299 vs right-handed batters since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has a groundball rate of 55% this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% against Kyle Wright this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has thrown his curveball 66% of the time (59/90) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (308/552) against Kyle Wright since last season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	ATL	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -120
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +150
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -125
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +104
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +145

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Wright, P	55	2	3	3
RC. McHugh, P	41	3	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	26	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	16	1	2	2
RK.Yates, P	17	1	3	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	2	1	3
2M.Olson, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
4S.Murphy, C	2-3	1	0	0
5O.Albies, 2B	4-5	2	1	2
6V.Grissom, SS	1-5	1	0	0
7M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	3	2	5
8K.Pillar, LF	3-5	2	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	1	1	2
9S.Hilliard, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	85	4.1	3	11
LD. Smeltzer, P	47	3.2	2	3
RJ.Stallings, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	0	0	0
1P.Burdick, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-5	0	0	0
3Y.Gurriel, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
4X.Edwards, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
5J.Sanchez, LF	3-4	3	1	2
5J.Sanchez, RF	3-4	3	1	2
6J. Segura, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	2-4	0	0	2
9J.Berti, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	0-3	0	0	0