Cubs vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023
Cubs at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.63 | 10-9 | |
 |  | 3.95 | 10-9 |
Cubs at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cubs 11-5 | -1.5+140 | o7.5-110 | -120 | |
Marlins 6-11 | +1.5-172 | u7.5-110 | +104 | |
loanDepot parkMiami
Cubs vs. Marlins Expert Picks
The Degenerates
688d ago
Last 30d: 89-81-0 (-2.6u)
CHC -105
1.05u
Collin Wilson
688d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHC -115
0.58u
Project Stroman -150; Fish with one of the lowest wRC+ v righties
Sean Zerillo
688d ago
Last 30d: 27-38-0 (-1.8u)
MIA +100
0.5u
Need +100 or better
Tanner McGrath
688d ago
Last 30d: 59-67-0 (-12.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150
0.5u
NRFIs been a real pain for me recently so let’s see one go through the hoop
Anders
688d ago
Last 30d: 6-9-0 (-6.5u)
MIA +103
1.03u
Unamerican to not celebrate the holiday
Steak Friend
688d ago
Last 30d: 267-323-6 (-49.5u)
MIA -110
1u
Markus Markets
688d ago
Last 30d: 39-41-1 (+2.6u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-142
0.7u
M.Stroman o4.5 Ks-142
1u
Mjaybrod
688d ago
Last 30d: 97-105-0 (-9.2u)
MIA u3.5-112
0.89u
Cubs vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Cubs vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Cubs were 31-29 (.517) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Marlins are just 0-13 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Marlins are just 80-84 (.488) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Matchup Contrasts
Patrick Wisdom has struck out in 34% of PA's since last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 91st Percentile.
Patrick Wisdom is batting just .212 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .207 (79-for-382) against Jesus Luzardo since last season -- tied for 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 90th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .593 (27 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 -- first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 -- first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 28 batters (32%) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Cubs vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Cubs Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Cubs Injuries
- Nico HoernerIF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out
Cubs vs. Marlins Box Score
Cubs Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 92 | 6.1 | 3 | 2 | |
 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 96 | 6.1 | 6 | 2 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Cubs at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Cubs 11-5 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 6-11 | N/A | N/A |