Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - August 12, 2023

Braves at Mets

5:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

21 - 3

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D. Reyes			7.78	0-2
A.Winans			5.29	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-149	o10.5-119	-225
Mets 7-6	+1.5+122	u10.5-102	+185

Saturday 5:10 p.m.

August 12, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +186

0.5u

Game 1. Bet to +178

NYM +185

Featured Insight
Braves hitters are slugging .425 versus relief pitchers this season -- tied for third-best in MLB. MetsRPs have allowed a SLG of .397 this season -- 10th-worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Mets this season -- seventh-worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 12, 2023 UTC
Braves vs. Mets: Doubleheader Best Bets
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The Braves are 38-15 (.717) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Austin Riley batted .287 on breaking pitches last season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Brooks Raley threw his curveball 37% of the time last season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Austin Riley is batting .285 on breaking pitches since last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Brooks Raley has thrown his curveball 36% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (101/207) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .318 (67-for-211) against Jose Quintana versus the bottom of the order since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .234 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (487/1,208) against Spencer Strider this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 11th	ATL	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +159
Aug 9th	CHC	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +100
Aug 8th	CHC	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +115
Aug 7th	CHC	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 9	NYM -112
Aug 6th	@BAL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +165

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Winans, P	111	7	9	0
RM.Tonkin, P	22	1	0	3
RN.Lopez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-3	3	0	1
1K.Pillar, RF	1-2	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	3-6	2	1	6
3A.Riley, 3B	2-5	2	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	3-5	3	2	4
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-6	0	0	0
5O.Arcia, SS	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	1-6	1	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	2-4	3	1	2
8M.Harris, CF	2-3	2	0	0
8F.Wall, PH	1-2	1	0	0
8F.Wall, CF	1-2	1	0	0
9N.Lopez, SS	4-6	3	1	5

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD. Reyes, P	109	4.2	4	5
RR.Garrett, P	58	2.1	3	6
LJ.Walker, P	20	0.2	1	2
RD.Mendick, P	32	1.1	0	8

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Ortega, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	2-3	1	1	3
6A. Almonte, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7O.Narvaez, C	2-4	0	0	0
8D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J. Araúz, SS	0-4	0	0	0