Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Atlanta Braves

0-1

4 - 8

New York Mets

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Senga			3.38	1-0
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-1	+1.5-192	o7.5-115	+114
Mets 1-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-105	-135

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Over 7.5-112

0.89u

ATL +114

$877.19

NYM -130

0.77u

Mets are hot, Braves aren't. Injuries to star hitters have taken a major toll on the Braves.

Under 7.5+100

ATL +110

BP6

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Flat to 8 (-110); betting before Thursday’s game so may adjust staking or price target depending on pen use

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season -- tied for lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 45% of their games since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Braves right-handed hitters have struck out 50% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Dedniel Nunez has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Pierce Johnson has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,110/2,405) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CB; League Avg: 17% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 707 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +100
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148
Jul 21st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -142

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	60	2.2	2	5
RD.Hernandez, P	38	1.1	2	1
LA.Bummer, P	33	2	3	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-3	0	0	0
1R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	1	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	2-4	2	2	3
8N.Alvarez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	73	5.1	9	2
RE.Orze, P	25	1.2	1	1
RA.Ottavino, P	31	1	1	0
LJ.Diekman, P	18	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	2	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	3-4	1	1	4
3D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3D.Stewart, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	2-3	1	1	3
7J.Iglesias, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	1	1
9T.Taylor, CF	0-4	1	0	0