Braves vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Braves at Orioles

10:35 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-1

0 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-1	-1.5	-1.5+124	o7.5-103	-142
Orioles 0-1	u8.5	+1.5-148	u7.5-116	+120

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 7.5-105

M.Fried u5.5 Ks+125

2.5u

BAL +114

1.14u

BAL +110

1.1u

ATL -130

Featured Insight
Braves won 64% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- best in MLB. Orioles won just 38% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Braves have won just 38% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-68 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Cedric Mullins has an OPS of just .692 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .585 (1,334 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Cedric Mullins is batting just .167 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .184 (74-for-403) on Max Fried breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.7 MPH (159 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.83 (39.1 IP)this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (121/197) against Max Fried this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	@TB	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -136
Jun 9th	@TB	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -144
Jun 8th	@TB	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -135
Jun 7th	@TB	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -110
Jun 6th	@TOR	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +110

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	5	3	4
RP.Johnson, P	10	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	13	1	2	0
LR.Kerr, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Martinez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Suarez, P	97	5.1	4
RJ.Webb, P	29	1.1	2
RY.Cano, P	6	0.1	1
LC.Perez, P	12	1	0
RD.Tate, P	21	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4C.Mullins, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	3-4	1	0	1
6J.Mateo, SS	1-3	1	1	3
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, RF	0-3	0	0	0