Brewers vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Brewers at Orioles

5:35 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

4 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9
C.Rea			4.29	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-112	o9-109	+185
Orioles 0-2	-1.5-107	u9-110	-225

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+110

1.1u

BAL -1.5-110

1.82u

BAL -1.5+112

1.12u

BAL -190

0.53u

… MLB big home favs off bad loss non division Overall: 259-82-0,76% (ROI:10%) Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%)

C.Burnes o7.5 Ks+138

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 7.9 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of +108 odds giving us value at this number. Revenge game 🔥

A.Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage in this matchup and +EV with devig odds of -116 giving value at this number

Over 8-115

0.87u

MIL +160

Over 8-110

Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB. The Orioles have scored first in just 47% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs allowed a SLG of just .363 last season -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters slugged just .348 versus relief pitchers last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 49-49 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .385.

Willy Adames struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Corbin Burnes had a strikeout rate of 30% in the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Corbin Burnes allowed an OPS of just .598 (784 PAs) last season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .228 (92 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 47 PAs) this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (159/268) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	MIL	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -148
Apr 12th	MIL	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +106
Apr 11th	@BOS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -130
Apr 10th	@BOS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -102
Apr 9th	@BOS	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -130

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	87	5.2	6	3
LB.Hudson, P	4	0.1	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	13	1	0	2
LH.Milner, P	28	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Contreras, DH	2-4	1	1	1
2R.Hoskins, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3S.Frelick, RF	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	2-4	1	0	0
5G.Sanchez, C	1-3	0	0	0
6B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Wiemer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	3-4	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	98	5	5	2
RJ.Webb, P	9	1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	22	1.1	1	1
LD.Coulombe, P	8	0.2	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	21	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-3	1	0	1
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Hays, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-3	1	1	2
4R.Urias, PH	1-1	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-3	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, RF	1-3	1	1	1
7C.Mullins, CF	2-4	1	1	1
8J.Westburg, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	1-4	1	0	0