Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Cardinals at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

9-11

7 - 6

Washington Nationals

11-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13
S.Gray			3.84	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 9-11	-1.5+100	o9+100	-157
Nationals 11-9	+1.5-120	u9-120	+132

Friday 10:45 p.m.

July 05, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

S.Gray o5.5 Ks+122

1.22u

P.Goldschmidt o0.5 RBI+115

Over 9+102

1.53u

C.Abrams o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.63u

S.Gray o5.5 Ks+125

2.5u

P.Corbin u17.5 Outs-121

J.Wood o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100

STL +230 (1st Inn)

0.5u

+245 Caesars

Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against LHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Nationals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP since last season -- second lowest in MLB. Cardinals have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 18-21 (.462) at home this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Masyn Winn has an OPS of .718 with two strikes this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .673 (181 PAs) with two strikes this season -- second worst among qualified SPs-- second Percentile.

Keibert Ruiz has an OPS of just .665 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .536 (307 PAs) since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .498 (327 Total Bases / 656 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .317 (208-for-656) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	NYM	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH -108
Jul 3rd	NYM	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	WSH +106
Jul 2nd	NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +120
Jul 1st	NYM	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +100
Jun 30th	@TB	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +160

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	88	5	6	5
RC.Roycroft, P	25	1.2	1	0
LM.Liberatore, P	7	0.2	0	0
RR.Fernandez, P	13	1	0	0
LJ.Romero, P	13	0.2	1	0
RR.Helsley, P	27	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-6	2	0	0
2A.Burleson, LF	1-5	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3W.Contreras, DH	2-5	1	1	2
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-6	1	0	0
5N.Arenado, 3B	4-5	2	0	0
6B.Donovan, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
6B.Donovan, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7D.Carlson, RF	0-2	0	0	1
7N.Gorman, PH	2-2	0	0	2
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-2	0	0	2
8P.Pages, C	1-4	0	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	2-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	91	5	3	3
LR.Garcia, P	11	1	0	0
RD.Law, P	12	0.2	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	19	1.1	0	1
RK.Finnegan, P	22	1	0	1
RD.Floro, P	15	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	0	0	2
2L.Thomas, RF	2-6	1	0	0
3J.Wood, LF	1-5	1	0	0
4J.Winker, DH	2-5	1	0	1
5K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0	1
5N.Nunez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Adams, C	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Garcia, 2B	4-5	1	1	2
7J.Yepez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
8I.Vargas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-5	1	0	0