Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 8, 2024

Cubs at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Chicago Cubs

11-5

3 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-191	o9-105	+105
Reds 9-12	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 08, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 9-105

$1050.00

CHC -105

1.05u

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks-118

0.85u

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Abbott is under in 8/12 - and all 8 unders he failed to even crack 5 Ks. And he’s only reached double digit whiffs in 3 games. That should bode well for an under against the Cubs - CHC has the ninth lowest called strike rate, so we should avoid two strike counts. And CHC is at 20.6% K% vs lefties this season, and 20.3% over the L30 days. Good hitting weather tomorrow too (and Abbott has some pretty extreme fly ball rates).

Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 3.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (13 games). The Cubs have allowed 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (12 games).

TRY FOR FREE

The Cubs are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Cubs are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 30% this season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (94/184) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has struck out 46% (13/28) of left-handed batters he faced -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130
Jun 5th	@COL	W 12-7	-1.5 W	O 12	CIN -148
Jun 5th	@COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 10.5	CIN -130
Jun 4th	@COL	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 11	CIN -115

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	65	4	3	3
LJ.Wicks, P	52	3.1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	5	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1P.Wisdom, 3B	0-5	0	0
2C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-5	1	0
4D.Swanson, SS	3-4	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
6M.Tauchman, RF	0-5	0	0
7D.Bote, 2B	3-4	2	0
8M.Busch, 1B	1-3	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	1-3	0	1
9P.Crow-Armstrong, PH	0-1	0	1
9M.Amaya, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	99	5	5	1
RE.Pagan, P	13	1	1	1
LS.Moll, P	10	1	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	0	1
RL.Sims, P	11	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	7	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-3	1	1	3
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-2	2	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Dunn, LF	0-1	0	0	0