Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Diamondbacks at Giants

2:15 am • Apple TV+

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

17 - 1

San Francisco Giants

13-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			3.12	5-3
J.Montgomery			6.23	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 10-10	+1.5	-1.5+170	o7.5+102	+101
Giants 13-3	u7.5	+1.5-205	u7.5-122	-118

Saturday 2:15 a.m.

April 20, 2024

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

B.Snell u15.5 Outs-110

B.Snell u5.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Over 7.5-110

0.91u

@AnthonyDabbundo

B.Snell u15.5 Outs+100

This is the knock on Snell - he doesn’t pitch deep into games. Only 4 and 3 IP so far, and even with a pitch count cap, he was trending to stay under this line in both. 4.4 pitches per PA so far, after leading qualifiers with 4.25 last season. DBacks are 8th in pitches per PA (3.96), and have the 7th lowest chase rate. And so far, the DBacks are top 6 in wRC+ and OPS vs lefties. Only up to 78 pitches - highly doubt he’d be pushed past 85 at the end of the 5th inning. He started the season last year 13/24 before going on a run to the end year. He’s not pitching like that guy right now, so I’ll fade him in a tough matchup.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

B.Snell u5.5 Ks+124

0.62u

SF -130

1.95u

Blake Snell is my doppelgänger

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+114

0.5u

Over 4 (F5)-110

Over 8-105

ARI +113

1.13u

Over 7.5-114

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-102)

ARI +120

0.6u

Bet to +110

ARI +116

0.58u

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks have struck out just 17% this season -- lowest in MLB. Giants have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Giants left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- third lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 73-18 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Eugenio Suarez is batting just .233 since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .195 (185-for-948) against Blake Snell since the 2022 season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	ARI	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -155
Apr 17th	@MIA	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	SF -112
Apr 16th	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -134
Apr 15th	@MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SF -115
Apr 14th	@TB	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8	TB -115

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	78	6	3	1
RS.McGough, P	15	1.2	1	0
RS.McGough, P	15	1.2	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	35	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	4-6	1	0	1
2C.Carroll, CF	2-6	2	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	0	0	1
3J.McCarthy, PR	1-1	2	0	0
3J.McCarthy, LF	1-1	2	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	3-6	3	0	1
5E.Suarez, 3B	2-3	3	0	1
6R.Grichuk, RF	2-4	1	0	2
6P.Smith, PH	0-2	1	0	1
6P.Smith, RF	0-2	1	0	1
7G.Moreno, C	2-5	2	0	3
8B.Alexander, DH	3-5	2	1	5
8B.Alexander, SS	3-5	2	1	5
9K.Newman, SS	1-5	0	0	1
9K.Newman, 2B	1-5	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	85	4.2	3	5
RL.Roupp, P	39	1.2	1	3
RK.Teng, P	36	1	0	5
RN.Avila, P	13	0.2	1	1
RT.Fitzgerald, P	21	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Slater, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Slater, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2W.Flores, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3L.Wade, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Conforto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Estrada, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Fitzgerald, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Ahmed, SS	2-3	0	0	0