Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2023

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Arizona Diamondbacks

5-5

3 - 1

San Diego Padres

3-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 5-5	+1.5-196	o8-110	+105
Padres 3-8	-1.5+165	u8-110	-125

Friday 1:40 a.m.

August 18, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Over 8.5-102

3.06u

ARI -104

$0.96

ARI +100

$1.00

SD -105

Over 8.5-105

ARI -110

R.Hill u15.5 Outs+100

Under in 6/L8, including two very poor starts vs ARI (7.1 IP, 14 H, 8 R). 6.94 ERA over that span. He seems cooked, and he’s now pitching for a team chasing a playoff spot. With the pen in good shape, and Hill struggling mightily the third time through the order, I don’t see the Padres giving him any leash after the first time through.

SD -110

1.1u

ARI -106

$0.94

ARI o2.5 (F5)+120

0.6u

SD +106

0.5u

Bet to +102. And Hill too 😂. Only two missing are Keuchel and Arrieta (RIP)

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 22% since last season -- eighth-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Padres Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 19% against LHP since last season -- tied for third-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for second-lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 48-27 (.640) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Christian Walker has an OPS of .725 with two strikes this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Rich Hill has allowed an OPS of .625 (312 PAs) with two strikes this season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- fourth Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .597 (1,334 PAs) since last season -- eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 17th	BAL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -190
Aug 16th	BAL	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -111
Aug 15th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -144
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -149
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI +120

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	100	6.1	3	1
LK.Nelson, P	16	1.1	3	0
RJ.Martinez, P	29	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K. Lewis, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Carroll, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3T.Pham, LF	1-4	1	1	2
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Kennedy, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5J. Peterson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J. Peterson, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	1-4	1	1	1
7A.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, 2B	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P		56	5	3	3
RP.Avila, P		52	4	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1H.Kim, 3B	0-4	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-2	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-4	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	1	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0
8G.Cooper, 1B	1-3	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-3	0	1