Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 19, 2023

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

0 - 4

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5-149	o8.5-120	+140
Padres 4-3	-1.5+122	u8.5+101	-170

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

August 19, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 9-110

0.5u

Bet to -123 or 8.5 (-103)

ARI +158

0.5u

Bet to +155

ARI +160

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% this season -- tied for ninth-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Padres this season -- best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- second-highest in MLB (283 games). The Padres have allowed 1.4 runs per game in late innings since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB (284 games).

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The Padres are just 48-27 (.640) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Diamondbacks are just 13-18 (.419) after a home loss this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

Ketel Marte is slugging .596 on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Scott Barlow has thrown a breaking pitch 71% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Tommy Pham is batting just .192 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 34% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CB-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 18th	ARI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	ARI -125
Aug 17th	BAL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -190
Aug 16th	BAL	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -111
Aug 15th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -144
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -149

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	107	7	5	0
RM.Castro, P	8	0.1	0	4
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J. Peterson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Kennedy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Thomas, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7K. Lewis, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-3	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Lugo, P	104	6	9
RS.Barlow, P	8	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	9	1	1
LJ.Hader, P	11	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3J.Soto, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Sanchez, C	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Azocar, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0
8G.Cooper, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Gamel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
8M.Carpenter, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0