Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2024
Diamondbacks at Red Sox
5:35 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
T.Houck | 3.12 | 9-10 | ||
M.Kelly | 4.03 | 5-1 |
Diamondbacks at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | +1.5-181 | o9-122 | +110 | |
Red Sox 0-0 | -1.5+150 | u9+102 | -130 |
Sunday 5:35 p.m.
August 25, 2024Fenway ParkBoston
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Picks Office
119d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
Under 9.5-115
1u
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Merrill Kelly has been terrific of late, as he has registered a 2.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, to suggest he really is locked in for the Diamondbacks as their reliable arm. He also throws down a WHIP of 1.17, further proving his aptitude at keeping runners off base, which really is the key to limiting run production. In years past, Kelly had been pretty dominant when facing Boston—it's hard to think that he had just allowed one earned run over 14.1 innings. Since the argument is in support of a low-scoring game, this historical success against the Red Sox further enhances the case, especially considering their current struggles against right-handed pitching, with average numbers of .256 BA and .323 OBP.
On the flip side, Tanner Houck has been strong for Boston with a 3.01 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.
His recent starts have seen him sharpen his form further, posting a 2.41 ERA across the last three outings. Underlying metrics, xERA/xBA, solidify that his performance, thus far, is nothing fluky, and he should maintain a high-volume level. Arizona's attacked looks shabby by a .239 batting average against righties and will probably have problems banging on the all against Houck. Additionally given of the added confidence to this under pick are both bullpens. For Arizona, its bullpen pitches to a respectable 3.79 ERA and impressive 1.15 WHIP. The Boston bullpen is similarly stout with a 3.65 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. These numbers indicate that even if the starters leave early, the relief pitchers are more than capable of maintaining a low-score environment.
CeeJ Picks
119d ago
Last 30d: 47-32-0 (+26.7u)
T.Houck o1.5 BB-130
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
119d ago
Last 30d: 302-280-6 (+1.2u)
Under 9.5-104
1u
umpire friendly unders
Overall: 2059-1448-166,59% (ROI:13%)
Season:44-33-3,57% (ROI:10%)
mlb under non conference no wind out
Overall: 256-170-13,60% (ROI:15%)
Season:8-4-1,67% (ROI:26%)
Prop Bet Guy
119d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
T.Houck o1.5 BB-130
1u
Houck had been over in 7 straight before a zero walk game against the Astros. But now he gets the DBacks who have been walking a ton - 10.6% vs righties over the L30 is the third highest rate. 20/L24 righties making full starts are over this line against Arizona.
💰🦡 Jake
119d ago
Last 30d: 79-94-1 (-28.1u)
Under 9.5-105
1.05u
Player Prop Savant
119d ago
Last 30d: 38-34-0 (-2.1u)
M.Kelly u16.5 Outs-120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
120d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
BOS -135 (F5)
0.37u
Flat to -147
Boomer Betz
120d ago
Last 30d: 146-155-9 (-3.8u)
BOS -133
1.25u
PRO Insights
Diamondbacks
ARI Insights
- Featured InsightThe Diamondbacks have scored 6.6 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (7 games). The Red Sox have allowed 7.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Red Sox have answered-back in 45% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- second highest in MLB. Diamondbacks have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this month -- third highest in MLB.
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Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 75-87 | 32-49 | 43-38 | 30-49 | 44-37 |
Diamondbacks | 82-80 | 37-44 | 45-36 | 37-48 | 43-31 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 79-75-8 | 37-40-4 | 42-35-4 | 37-40-2 | 41-34-6 |
Diamondbacks | 92-64-6 | 50-29-2 | 42-35-4 | 50-33-2 | 41-29-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 81-81 | 38-43 | 43-38 | 42-37 | 38-43 |
Diamondbacks | 89-73 | 44-37 | 45-36 | 52-33 | 35-39 |
Last 5 Matchups
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Patrick SandovalP
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- Ryne NelsonP
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RM.Kelly, P | 101 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |
LJ.Mantiply, P | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LA.Puk, P | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
RJ.Martinez, P | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1C.Carroll, RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
2J.McCarthy, CF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3J.Pederson, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Bell, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5P.Smith, LF | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5L.Gurriel, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5L.Gurriel, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6A.Del Castillo, C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
7E.Suarez, 3B | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
8L.Guillorme, 2B | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8K.Newman, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8K.Newman, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Perdomo, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RT.Houck, P | 91 | 6 | 2 | 6 | |
LB.Bernardino, P | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
LJ.Rodriguez, P | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RL.Sims, P | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Duran, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Abreu, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Refsnyder, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Refsnyder, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Casas, 1B | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
4R.Devers, 3B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5T.O'Neill, LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6M.Yoshida, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7C.Wong, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Hamilton, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8R.Gonzalez, PH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8R.Gonzalez, 2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Rafaela, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | o4.5+100 | u4.5-130 |
Red Sox 0-0 | o4.5-120 | u4.5-110 |