Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 20, 2024

Red Sox at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

4 - 5

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-175	o8-115	+124
Astros 0-2	u7.5	-1.5+145	u8-105	-148

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

August 20, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

HOU -142

0.7u

home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 584-333-0,64% (ROI:10%) Season:14-18-0,44% (ROI:-24%)

HOU -110 (F5)

$110.00

BOS +124

Over 8-110

T.O'Neill o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+400

R.Devers o0.5 HR+550

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

BOS -104 (F5)

$52.00

BOS -110 (F5)

Y.Kikuchi u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Since June 1st, he’s under in 9/14, and he’s only finished 6 innings twice. He’s been pulled in the sixth inning each of his three starts as an Astro, as he really struggles the third time through the order (.937 OPS). The Sox have a solid history/familiarity against him, and they’ve been raking vs lefties with a 128 wRC+ and .847 OPS over the L30 - and that includes a 10% walk rate. Also a plus-plus matchup with pitch efficiency - Sox at 3.94 per PA (8th highest), and Kikuchi at 3.96 (32nd highest of 115 qualifiers).

Y.Kikuchi u2.5 BB-165

0.61u

Yusei Kikuchi U 2.5 Walks (Fliff -165) ⚾️ Kikuchi is under in 76% of starts this season and in 85% at home. He has a 6.4% BB rate, which is good for the top 74th percentile ☑️ Boston is 11th in BB% vs LHP in the last 15 days, but looking at the game logs 21 of the last 25 starting pitchers were under 3 walks allowed vs the Red Sox 🤯

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Featured Insight
The Astros have scored 5.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (143 games). The Red Sox have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since last season -- third highest in MLB (142 games).

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 18th	CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU -372
Aug 17th	CWS	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -377
Aug 17th	CWS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CWS -270
Aug 14th	@TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -125
Aug 13th	@TB	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -125

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	90	6	8	2
RC.Martin, P	13	1	3	0
RL.Sims, P	23	1	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	4	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2T.O'Neill, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Wong, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Yoshida, PH	1-2	1	1	2
8M.Yoshida, DH	1-2	1	1	2
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	99	5.2	7	1
RT.Scott, P	19	1.1	1	1
LC.Ferguson, P	11	1	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	3-4	0	0	0
3Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	2	1	1
3Y.Diaz, C	2-5	2	1	1
4J.Pena, SS	1-4	2	0	0
5V.Caratini, C	3-3	0	0	1
5Z.Dezenzo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5Z.Dezenzo, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Cabbage, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Singleton, PH	0-0	0	0	1
7C.McCormick, RF	1-1	1	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	1-4	0	0	1
9S.Whitcomb, 3B	1-3	0	0	0