Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2024
Dodgers at Marlins
10:40 pm • SportsNet LAStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
D.McCaughan | 9.00 | 0-0 | ||
B.Miller | 8.52 | 2-4 |
Dodgers at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers 11-5 | -1.5-142 | o9.5-110 | -230 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5+122 | u9.5-110 | +190 |
Tuesday 10:40 p.m.
September 17, 2024loanDepot parkMiami
Dodgers vs. Marlins Expert Picks
CeeJ Picks
67d ago
Last 30d: 58-73-0 (+43.6u)
B.Miller u17.5 Outs-132
1u
Bobby Miller under 17.5 Outs (-132 FD)
- Under in 9/12 games this season (averages 13.5 outs)
- Under in 3 straight games and 7/L8 starts
- On the road today where he is under in 4 straight and 6/7 on the season
- Facing MIA who on the season rank 26th and 21st in wRC+ and OBP, but as of late they have been hitting the ball well ranking 5th in wRC+ and 2nd in OBP over the L15 days
- MIA is a much better lineup vs RHP as most batters BA jumps from around .240 to .270 when facing RHP
- MIA ranks 14th on the season in K%, but have 4 batters with K% of 24% and higher, so that could help run up Miller's PC and get him out earlier as well as the hits
- He has allowed 3+ runs in 6 straight games and coming off back to back horrendous games allowing 5 hits in both and giving up 7 and 6 runs
- Slight concern with the Dodgers using 4 BP arms yesterday, but Miller has been so bad and the Dodgers have at least a few arms they could use for when Miller blows up
- This line has already bumped down to 16.5 on some books, so good value catching it on FD
Prop Hunter
67d ago
Last 30d: 27-37-0 (-9.7u)
T.Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
💰🦡 Jake
67d ago
Last 30d: 105-98-3 (-3.0u)
MIA o3.5 Team Total-105
1u
Moneyline Hacks
68d ago
Last 30d: 64-66-3 (+5.6u)
B.Miller u5.5 Ks-101
0.99u
G.Conine o0.5 Hits-121
1u
Prop Bet Guy
68d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
B.Miller u17.5 Outs-132
1u
Miller is under in 9/12, including 6/7 on the road with a 11.39 ERA (5.41 xFIP), .483 wOBA, and a 2.2% K%-BB%. The Marlins have been sneaky good lately vs righties - L30 days with a 117 wRC+ and .784 OPS, including league average walk and called strike rates (they’ve been much more patient).
BJ Cunningham
68d ago
Last 30d: 32-27-3 (+3.0u)
Under 9.5-115
1.15u
Sean Zerillo
68d ago
Last 30d: 30-60-1 (-8.1u)
Under 9.5-104
0.5u
Flat to -120 or 9 (-101)
PRO Insights
Dodgers
LAD Insights
- Featured InsightThe Dodgers have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road since last season -- highest in MLB (155 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since last season -- second highest in MLB (156 games).
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Marlins
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightMarlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Dodgers over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.
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Dodgers vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Dodgers vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injury Updates
Dodgers Injuries
- Dustin MayP
May is out with elbow
Out
- Tony GonsolinP
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Gavin StoneP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
- Emmet SheehanP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Dodgers vs. Marlins Box Score
Dodgers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Miller, P | 65 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
RM.Grove, P | 32 | 1.2 | 0 | 3 | |
LA.Vesia, P | 18 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RR.Brasier, P | 25 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
RB.Graterol, P | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RD.Hudson, P | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1S.Ohtani, DH | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
2M.Betts, RF | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
3F.Freeman, 1B | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
4T.Hernandez, LF | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
5M.Muncy, 3B | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
6T.Edman, CF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7G.Lux, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Rojas, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
9H.Feduccia, C | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RD.McCaughan, P | 65 | 3.2 | 4 | 5 | |
LA.Veneziano, P | 25 | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | |
RL.Bachar, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RA.Bender, P | 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
RD.Cronin, P | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RJ.Tinoco, P | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1X.Edwards, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2C.Norby, 3B | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Sanchez, LF | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
3C.Pache, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3C.Pache, CF | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Burger, 1B | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
5J.Bride, DH | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6K.Stowers, CF | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
6K.Stowers, LF | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
7O.Lopez, 2B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8G.Conine, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9N.Fortes, C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Dodgers at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Dodgers 11-5 | o5.5-125 | u5.5-105 |
Marlins 0-0 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |