Giants vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2023

Giants at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

San Francisco Giants

0-0

3 - 4

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
L.Webb			3.25	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	-1.5+176	o7.5+100	+100
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-210	u7.5-120	-120

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 17, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

SF -100

$100.00

In place of SGP L

SF +106

0.5u

L.Webb u5.5 Ks-112

1.12u

Webb is off to a nice start with a 11.65 K/9 and while his 12% swinging strike rate is good (for him) he’s not going to be able to maintain a 49% outside the zone contact %. That will likely be closer to 60% going forward, which will cause his K% to plummet from 31% to 23-24%. He’s throwing his sinker more often (43% of the time) compared to 33% a year ago and has only managed a 8% whiff rate, which is another reason why his K/9 should drop. Marlins 3/5/6 hitters are very tough to K and the only player I have with a 30%+ chance to K is number 9 hitter Garrett Hampson. Cobb is unlikely to face Hampson a 3rd time which is great for this prop. Projecting this closer to -150

Under 7.5-102

0.98u

SF -100

Under 3.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

MIA -120

J.Soler u0.5 Hits+137

0.5u

Soler 7 strikeouts in 10 ABs v Logan Webb, never recorded a hit

L.Webb o5.5 Ks-110

0.68u

Bet365 10:55.

Under 3.5 (F5)-104

L.Webb o5.5 Ks-115

Webb has been solid on the K front this season, with 6+ in 2/3 with 8+ whiffs in each game. Faced three good offenses, and now gets MIA who is 26th in OPS and wRC+ vs RHP. And MIA ranks 4th in K% vs RHP, and 1st in CSW% overall. 10/13 RH starters have hit this vs MIA this season.

Over 7-112

0.56u

Bet to -115

SF +110 (F5)

1.1u

SF +116

MLB Monday Betting Preview & Best Bets | Payoff Pitch Podcast
Brendan Glasheen•
Apr 17, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Giants are 27-35 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	ARI	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7	ARI -138
Apr 15th	ARI	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -122
Apr 14th	ARI	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIA -157
Apr 12th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +172
Apr 11th	@PHI	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +120

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P		105	6.2	6	4
LS.Alexander, P		11	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Estrada, LF	0-4	0	0
2W.Flores, 1B	3-4	1	0
3D. Ruf, DH	0-1	1	0
3M. Beaty, PH	0-1	0	0
3M. Beaty, DH	0-1	0	0
4J.Davis, 3B	0-4	0	0
5D.Villar, 2B	1-4	0	2
6M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-4	0	0
7J.Bart, C	2-4	1	0
8H.Ramos, RF	1-2	0	1
8L.Wade, PH	0-0	0	0
8L.Wade, RF	0-0	0	0
9B.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	100	4.1	6	3
LA.Nardi, P	11	1.2	1	0
RM.Barnes, P	23	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	9	1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	0	1
2G.Cooper, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	2-2	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Hampson, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Soler, PH	1-1	1	1	2
9J.Berti, SS	0-0	0	0	0