Giants vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Giants at Padres

8:05 pm • MLB Network

San Francisco Giants

11-3

4 - 6

San Diego Padres

4-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Darvish			4.56	8-10
A.Cobb			3.87	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 11-3	+1.5-130	o19.5-105	+127
Padres 4-12	-1.5+107	u19.5-115	-152

Sunday 8:05 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu

Over 15.5 (Live)-105

1.05u

L.Wade Jr. o0.5 HR+275

2.75u

Alfredo Harp Helu Stadium is an extreme hitters park. It’s dimensions would be a hitters park at sea level but it happens to be 7,400 feet above sea level. Wade hits the ball in the air at a high rate (even more against RHP) so I’m projecting him closer to +190 to hit a homerun in these extreme conditions

SF +137

0.5u

M.Carpenter o0.5 HR+340

0.35u

FanDuel @Zerillo

J.Soto o0.5 RBI-125

0.6u

Bet365 1:58.

J.Soto o1.5 HR+1800

0.1u

Bet365 1:56.

M.Carpenter o0.5 HR+350

0.1u

M.Carpenter o0.5 RBI-130

0.1u

SF +134

0.35u

Under 20-115

0.5u

Y.Darvish o5.5 Ks+124

0.62u

Under 20.5-105

SF +1.5-130

1.3u

L.Wade Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-160

0.1u

X.Bogaerts o0.5 RBI-141

0.14u

J.Cronenworth o0.5 HR+450

0.1u

J.Soto o0.5 RBI-129

0.1u

T.Estrada o0.5 RBI+105

0.1u

M.Conforto o0.5 RBI-105

0.11u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+310

0.1u

Can find this Under “Innings” —> “1st Inning Total Runs” —> “0 Runs”

Under 20.5-102

0.5u

Would typically show an edge here down to 19 (-110). But we found out the humidor settings are juiced to the gills beyond the elevation/fence combination and who knows if they will adjust it down or not today Even after further increasing the park factor I only got this to 18.4. I would go down to 19.5 (-110) pregame Market peaked at 21 (-110), was initially waiting to see if it would get to 21.5 before jumping in SPs better than yesterday. But need strikeouts and groundballs. Will look at Live Unders (21.5, 23.5, 25.5, etc) if there’s early scoring again

Y.Darvish u5.5 Ks-130

1.3u

Under in 3/4 this season - but once again playing the altitude angle.

Over 15.5-110

2.2u

took this way early

The Padres are 62-13 (.827) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Padres are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

Juan Soto has a groundball rate of 57% this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% against Alex Cobb this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .388 on non-fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .273 (18-for-66) against Alex Cobb non-fastballs this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 12th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .088 (9-for-102) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .240 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .166 (44-for-265) against Yu Darvish's fastball since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .262 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	SF	W 16-11	-1.5 W	O 15.5	SD -199
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -174
Apr 26th	@CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -110
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -106
Apr 23rd	@ARI	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	SD -155

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Cobb, P	94	5	7	3
LS.Alexander, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	16	1	3	0
RT.Rogers, P	15	0.1	1	2
RC.Doval, P	17	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
1W.Flores, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Estrada, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Conforto, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Davis, 3B	2-3	1	1	1
7M.Yastrzemski, CF	2-4	0	0	1
7D.Villar, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Bart, C	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Wisely, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Wisely, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Slater, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	97	6	9	4
RL.Garcia, P	30	2	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	2-3	1	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
6N. Cruz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Carpenter, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
7H.Kim, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7H.Kim, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8A.Nola, C	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0