Guardians vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2023

Guardians at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

1 - 10

Chicago Cubs

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-115	o8.5-110	+165
Cubs 0-0	-1.5-105	u8.5-110	-205

Friday 6:20 p.m.

June 30, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -1.5+105

3.15u

CLE +1.5-120

1.2u

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-135

0.74u

CHC -185 (F5)

0.7u

J.Steele o16.5 Outs-130

1.25u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-prop-picks-friday-june-30-2023

CHC -175 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -200

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-105

0.48u

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-120

$166.67

Personal play: mini max🌟

Under 9-122

0.61u

Bet to 8.5 (-118)

CHC -150

CHC -145

0.5u

Bet to -160

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Friday Afternoon's Big MLB Betting Model Edge
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Guardians vs. Cubs: Bet Steele to Lead Chicago
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PropBetGuy's MLB Player Prop: Back Justin Steele?
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The Guardians are 9-2 (.818) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .684.

The Cubs are 29-14 (.674) after a win as favorites since last season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Cubs are just 18-61 (.228) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Guardians are 12-8 (.600) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of just .654 last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase allowed an OPS of just .425 (271 PAs) last season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.3 MPH on inside pitches since the 2021 season (307 balls in play) -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 85.5

Opponents batted just .119 (26-for-218) against Luis Severino with two-strikes in 2022 -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .169 -- 96th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.1 MPH (221 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.1 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 30th	PHI	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -105
Jun 29th	PHI	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PHI +115
Jun 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +112
Jun 25th	@STL	L 5-7	-1.5 L	U 12	STL -155
Jun 24th	@STL	W 9-1	-1.5 W	U 13	CHC -130

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	74	3.1	1	6
RX.Curry, P	39	2.2	1	3
LT.Herrin, P	22	1	1	1
RD.Fry, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
1T.Freeman, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3G.Arias, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Fry, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	1-4	1	1	1
8M.Straw, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	96	6.1	6	0
RM. Fulmer, P	22	1.1	0	0
RM. Fulmer, P	22	1.1	0	0
LA. Kay, P	14	0.1	0	0
RM.Rucker, P	21	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	1-4	1	0	1
2N.Hoerner, 2B	3-4	1	0	2
3C.Morel, DH	1-4	1	1	3
3C.Morel, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	0	0
8J. Young, 1B	2-3	2	0	2
8T. Mancini, PH	0-0	0	0	1
8T. Mancini, 1B	0-0	0	0	1
9N.Madrigal, 3B	2-4	2	1	1