Guardians vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2023

Guardians at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Cleveland Guardians

3-7

5 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

7-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
A.Civale			5.36	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 3-7	-1.5+120	o8.5-110	-142
Pirates 7-5	+1.5-145	u8.5-115	+120

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

July 19, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

R.Hill u4.5 Ks-142

Projecting closer to -185

R.Hill o1.5 BB+115

0.45u

Over in 9/10 averaging 2.6 BB over that stretch. Cleveland doesn’t walk a ton but I still think there’s some value here.

CLE -120 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -121

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The Pirates are just 39-46 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Steven Kwan is batting .303 on breaking pitches this season -- 12th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 45% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez has a miss rate of only 18% on breaking pitches this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Rich Hill has thrown a breaking pitch 61% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

17 of Rich Hill's 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 18th	CLE	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -112
Jul 17th	CLE	L 0-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CLE +110
Jul 16th	SF	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 10	SF +120
Jul 15th	SF	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SF +130
Jul 14th	SF	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	SF +108

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	88	5.1	3	2
RN.Sandlin, P	16	1	2	1
LS.Hentges, P	25	0.1	0	4
RE.De Los Santos, P	14	0.1	0	0
RM.Kelly, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	1	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-5	1	0	2
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	3-4	1	1	2
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
6T.Freeman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Fry, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Arias, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	2-3	1	0	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	97	5.2	1	4
RD.Moreta, P	4	0.1	1	0
LR.Borucki, P	16	1.1	1	1
RC.Holderman, P	12	0.2	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	1
1C.Joe, PH	1-2	0	0
1C.Joe, LF	1-2	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	1	1
2B.Reynolds, CF	0-4	1	1
3C.Santana, DH	0-3	1	0
4J. Choi, 1B	1-3	1	2
5H.Davis, RF	1-3	1	0
6J.Triolo, 3B	2-4	1	2
7T.Marcano, SS	0-4	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	2-3	1	1
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, PH	1-2	1	0
9E.Rodriguez, C	1-2	1	0