Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Guardians at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

7 - 8

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.24	12-11
Z.Plesac			7.59	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-185	o9-110	+100
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+160	u9-110	-120

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 29, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 9-110

1.65u

Z.Plesac u16.5 Outs-120

Under in 3/4 starts, and really struggling against lefties. He’ll see 6 in the lineup today, and as a tea, BOS’ lefties have an .811 OPS and 117 wRC+ vs RHP.

B.Bello u3.5 Ks+110

0.5u

Guardians lowest rate of strikeouts v righties

BOS -130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -140

Over 4.5 (F5)-134

0.75u

BOS -133 (F5)

0.9u

-130 on DK

Over 9+100

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

BOS -140

BOS -120

0.5u

Need -120 or better

The Guardians are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Rafael Devers is slugging .527 since last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Zach Plesac has allowed a SLG of .490 vs left-handed batters since last season -- 11th worst among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .389 (42-for-108) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .248 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	CLE	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE +106
Apr 26th	@BAL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +110
Apr 25th	@BAL	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BOS +133
Apr 24th	@BAL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -120
Apr 23rd	@MIL	W 12-5	+1.5 W	O 8	BOS +142

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Plesac, P	57	3.1	1	5
RX.Curry, P	49	2.2	1	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Morgan, P	23	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	1	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	3-4	1	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	3-5	0	0	3
5J.Bell, DH	1-5	1	1	1
5G.Arias, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5G.Arias, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6O. González, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
8M. Zunino, C	1-5	0	0	1
9M.Straw, CF	2-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	84	5	6	1
LR. Bleier, P	15	1	0	1
RR.Brasier, P	21	0.2	1	3
RJ.Schreiber, P	15	0.1	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	9	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	29	1	1	1
LB.Bernardino, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	2-6	1	0	1
2M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Turner, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-5	1	1	3
5J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
6R. Tapia, LF	2-4	1	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-5	2	0	1
8C. Arroyo, SS	3-4	2	0	2
9C.Wong, C	3-4	0	0	0