Guardians vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Guardians at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Cleveland Guardians

9-13

2 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 9-13	-1.5+160	o8-108	-105
Reds 9-13	+1.5-190	u8-112	-115

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Over 4 (F5)-115

1.73u

Under 8-104

CLE +333 (1st Inn)

0.5u

+350 Draftkings

CLE -105

1.05u

T.Bibee u17.5 Outs-125

Bibee under in 9/13. Struggles vs lefties (.790 OPS allowed) and he should see 5-6 in the reds lineup today, especially at the top of the order, where he could get pulled the third time through if he’s in trouble. Reds bats heating up - 124 wRC+ and .805 OPS over the L14 days vs righties. Cleveland with an off day Monday and another on Thursday. And great hitting conditions expected.

Featured Insight
Guardians have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters this season -- second highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 29% against RHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Will Benson has an OPS of just .368 with two strikes this season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of just .371 (167 PAs) with two strikes this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

74% of non-fastball strikeouts for Jose Ramirez are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 77% of Nick Lodolo non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .167 (18-for-108) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (223/698) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	CLE	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE -113
Jun 9th	CHC	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +114
Jun 8th	CHC	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -125
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	102	5.1	11	4
RN.Sandlin, P	20	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	5	0.2	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	1	0
2T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0
2K.Manzardo, PH	0-1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0
5D.Fry, RF	0-2	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	1
7G.Arias, DH	1-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	102	6	6	2
RL.Sims, P	18	1	1	0
LS.Moll, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	3-4	2	2	4
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, DH	1-2	1	0	0
9S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0