Guardians vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024
Guardians at Royals
8:10 pm • BSKCStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 3.35 | 13-8 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.86 | 3-10 |
Guardians at Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 0-1 | -1.5+161 | o8-108 | -108 | |
![]() Royals 2-0 | +1.5-192 | u8-112 | -112 |
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Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Guardians vs. Royals Expert Picks
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SpenceBets
173d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.8u)
KC +180 (Live)
1u
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Shady Biev
173d ago
Last 30d: 167-176-7 (-2.6u)
KC +200 (Live)
1u
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Prop Hunter
173d ago
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (-1.1u)
B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-115
1.15u
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Picks Office
173d ago
Last 30d: 85-88-2 (-14.3u)
Under 8-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Most of Williams' struggles have come at home, where his ERA inflates to 7.54, but he's found himself far more effective on the road, with a 3.03 ERA. It's also worth mentioning that Williams has a pretty nice history against the Royals, with a 2.08 ERA in four career starts. That includes a strong five-inning, two-run outing just last week, giving some reason to think he'll keep the Royals offense in check.
Michael Wacha has been the stalwart for Kansas City with a 3.50 ERA across 139 innings while being quite stingy against Cleveland in his career, having given up one run or fewer in four of five career starts. Despite 'rough outing' in his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, Wacha's overall numbers so far indicate that he might be capable of limiting a Guardians lineup that ranks 21st in batting average and 17th in OPS - both signs of an inconsistent offense.
The Kansas City offense has been extremely bad of late, averaging 2.80 runs per game over their last five. They have struggled greatly against right-handed pitching, posting just a .222 average over their past ten games. With the Cleveland bullpen ranking among the league's best with a 2.48 ERA, there is very little chance of an offensive breakout by the Royals in this matchup.
Cleveland's offense wasn't any more reliable, either. For the year, they averaged 4.55 runs per contest, but if recent form is any indication, which is never a given, then on the road, they are just hitting .228. Furthermore, the Under is 8-2 in Williams' last ten starts and 12-5-1 in Cleveland's last 18 road games - more indicants of a lower-scoring affair.
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The Degenerates
173d ago
Last 30d: 76-70-4 (-2.9u)
KC -112
1.12u
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SpenceBets
173d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.8u)
B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-109
1.1u
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Firefighter Bets
174d ago
Last 30d: 195-151-8 (+30.3u)
B.Witt o1.5 Total Bases-115
1u
J.Naylor o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.83u
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Player Prop Savant
174d ago
Last 30d: 50-61-4 (-16.5u)
KC -120 (F5)
1.2u
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Boomer Betz
174d ago
Last 30d: 151-109-4 (+59.1u)
KC -117
1.25u
L5
PRO Insights
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Guardians
CLE Insights
- Featured Insight
Guardians left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP since last season -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Royals
KC Insights
- Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 30% against the Royals RPs over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 28% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Guardians vs. Royals Previews & Analysis
Guardians vs. Royals Notes
Keys to the Game
The Guardians are 27-10 (.730) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Royals are just 24-122 (.164) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Guardians are 56-8 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Royals are just 79-130 (.378) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Matchup Contrasts
Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .567 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 204 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .412 (232 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Steven Kwan has a miss rate of only 10% on changeups this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 32% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (288/606) with two-strikes this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (102/374) against Gavin Williams since last season -- 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- fourth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .246 (14 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 -- 93rd Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Guardians vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Royals Injury Updates
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Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- John MeansP
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
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Royals Injuries
- Kyle WrightP
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Guardians vs. Royals Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 98 | 7 | 6 | 1 | |
![]() | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 85 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
![]() | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
![]() | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Guardians vs. Royals Odds Comparison
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Guardians at Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 0-1 | o3.5-130 | u3.5+100 |
![]() Royals 2-0 | o3.5-130 | u3.5+100 |