Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - October 14, 2022

Guardians at Yankees

5:07 pm • TBS

Cleveland Guardians

2-3

4 - 2

New York Yankees

3-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			4.50	1-0
S.Bieber			2.03	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 2-3	+1.5-175	o6-122	+136
Yankees 3-2	-1.5+145	u6+100	-162

Friday 5:07 p.m.

October 14, 2022

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 3.5 (F5)-125

1.25u

Over 6-120

0.6u

NYY -155

0.78u

S. Bieber o5.5 Ks-120

0.5u

NYY -160

S. Bieber o5.5 Ks-106

0.47u

FanDuel

N. Cortes o4.5 Ks-102

0.5u

FanDuel

CLE +135

1.35u

I’m terrible at baseball

N. Cortes o4.5 Ks+100

NYY -145

NYY -1+100

NYY -155

1.55u

NYY -0.5 (F5)+110

$50.00

NYY -140

0.25u

NYY -138

1.38u

NYY -132

1.32u

Zerillo best bet

NYY -135

1.35u

Dabbundo Best Bet

NYY -134 (F5)

1.34u

Zerillo best bet

NYY -135

0.68u

Wynn. Bet to -146. Ultimately about half the projected edge as the F5 bet so decided to reduce the risk allocation, especially with the majority of the market sitting around -140. Would increase bet size if it dipped below -130. And we have the Yankees series ticket as an added risk on top of the full game ML

NYY -140 (F5)

2.1u

MGM. Bet to -175. Reduce risk at -154. Lost 10 to 12 cents of CLV with the game postponed to Friday but still love it at -140

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The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Myles Straw is batting just .221 this season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .202 (99-for-490) against Nestor Cortes this season -- tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .387 (12-for-31) against Shane Bieber -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (89/266) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of last season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	8-6	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Guardians	4-6	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 11th	CLE	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	NYY -200
Oct 5th	@TEX	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	TEX -107
Oct 5th	@TEX	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TEX -210
Oct 4th	@TEX	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	NYY -105
Oct 3rd	@TEX	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -158

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	101	5.2	7	2
RT.Stephan, P	21	1.1	4	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	29	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	33	2.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	2-5	1	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4O. González, RF	2-5	1	0	1
5J.Naylor, 1B	2-5	1	0	1
6O.Miller, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8A.Hedges, C	0-1	0	0	0
8W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Maile, C	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	92	5	3	2
RL.Trivino, P	17	0.2	2	0
RJ.Loaisiga, P	15	1.2	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	16	0.2	1	0
RJ.Taillon, P	18	0	0	2
RC.Schmidt, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Judge, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Rizzo, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3G.Torres, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4T. Locastro, PR	0-1	0	0	0
4T. Locastro, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5J. Donaldson, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	0-5	0	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	0-1	0	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0