Astros vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2025

Astros at Royals

11:40 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

13-11

0 - 2

Kansas City Royals

12-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 13-11	-1.5	-1.5+147	o8-105	-115
Royals 12-14	u8	+1.5-175	u8-115	-104

Friday 11:40 p.m.

April 25, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

Under 8-115

0.58u

Under 8-115

Pitcher’s duel brewing at the K: Wesneski – 3.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP last 3 starts. Lugo limits damage – 36.4% GB rate, 14.7° launch angle allowed. Royals hitting just .204 vs righties, 2.81 runs/game overall. Houston’s bullpen nails – 2.05 ERA last 3 games, 2.68 on the season. KC’s pen shaky overall, but Erceg + Lynch (sub-1.10 ERAs) can keep it close if Lugo settles in. Both lineups chase pitches, lack consistent power. Unders cashing like clockwork – 20-7-3 in Astros' last 30 road games. Royals 20-6-1 to the Under as a dog. 5 of last 7 H2Hs stayed below the number. With soft offenses, sharp pens, and two contact-managing starters, 8 runs feels generous.

HOU -115

Royals need perfection. Astros don’t. Houston lineup crushes RHP – .770 OPS (7th), 78% of runs off righties. KC’s bullpen: 4.08 ERA (18th), vulnerable late. Astros pen: 2.86 ERA (2nd), 10.3 K/9. Add experience edge, and Houston's built for tight, low-scoring wins. Astros rotation 3.67 ERA (6th). Royals lineup vs RHP: .684 OPS (27th), weak contact, low OBP. Kauffman suppresses HRs – favors teams that grind runs. Astros force mistakes, KC doesn’t capitalize enough. Big edge in depth. Houston doesn’t need fireworks. Altuve, Tucker, Alvarez all .840+ OPS vs RHP. Astros 9th in Runs/Hit ratio, efficient offense. Royals can’t match that situational execution. Close game favors discipline, not chaos.

C.Walker o0.5 HR+680

0.2u

S.Lugo o4.5 Ks+120

2.6u

J.Pena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+120

1.2u

HOU -1.5+150

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+450

0.5u

KC +100

Under 8.5-116

1.16u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

-2+ HRRs in 3/L3 Games -.332 xBA since 4/9 despite .256 actual BA (unlucky) -4 for 8 with 2 XBHs vs Seth Lugo -Lugo ranks 36th percentile xERA, 29th percentile xBA

Astros vs. Royals Prediction: The Seth Lugo Ks Bet Tonight
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 25, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Royals' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	12-14	8-5	4-9	8-5	4-9
Astros	14-10	9-6	5-4	8-7	6-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	9-16-1	5-8	4-8-1	5-8	4-8-1
Astros	8-14-2	5-10	3-4-2	6-9	1-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	12-14	9-4	3-10	9-4	3-10
Astros	13-11	9-6	4-5	8-7	5-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	COL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -198
Apr 24th	COL	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8	KC -312
Apr 22nd	COL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -265
Apr 20th	@DET	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7	KC +186
Apr 19th	@DET	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	DET +114

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
P
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Wesneski, P		80	5	1	2
LS.Okert, P		13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
4J.Pena, SS	0-2	0	0	0
5C.Walker, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6Z.Dezenzo, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Smith, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P		74	6	6	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 3B	1-3	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-3	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-3	1	0
4M.Garcia, DH	1-3	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	0-2	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	1-2	0	1
7D.Waters, LF	2-3	1	0
8F.Fermin, C	0-1	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-1	0	1