Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

Mariners at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • SNET

Seattle Mariners

0-0

6 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
L.Gilbert			3.24	9-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 0-0	PK-108	o8.5-111	+100
Blue Jays 0-0	PK-105	u8.5-109	-120

Wednesday 7:07 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

J.Crawford o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-105

TOR -115

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 571-317-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-42%)

J.Rodríguez o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.79u

Rodriguez is in a big slump right now but underlying metrics do show he’s been aunlucky this season. His xBA remains above average & gets a great matchup vs. a lefty In his 2 years (151 games), JROD has a 132 or better wRC+ vs LHP & Kikuchi has a career .447 xSLG/43% hard hit rate allowed

J.Rodríguez o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

TOR -110 (F5)

$55.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

SEA -105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-128

0.5u

L.Gilbert o4.5 Ks-151

0.66u

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB. Blue Jays left-handed hitters have struck out 25% against RHP since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays had a strikeout rate of 25% last season -- third highest in MLB. Mariners struck out 26% last season -- second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 10, 2024 UTC
NRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 10, 2024 UTC

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The Blue Jays are just 9-59 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

29% of George Springer strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 52% of Logan Gilbert's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Daulton Varsho is batting just .184 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 27% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for third highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (26/42) when behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (12/32) against Logan Gilbert this season -- 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 90th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -112
Apr 8th	SEA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -119
Apr 7th	@NYY	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY +140
Apr 6th	@NYY	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY +102
Apr 5th	@NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR +130

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P	89	7.2	8	1
RA.Munoz, P	24	1.1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	0	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3T.France, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
4M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	0	2
5J.Polanco, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Garver, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Raley, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6L.Raley, DH	0-0	1	0	0
7C.Raleigh, C	1-3	1	1	2
8D.Moore, LF	0-3	1	0	0
8D.Moore, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
9L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Canzone, PH	0-1	1	0	0
9D.Canzone, LF	0-1	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	89	6	9	1
RN.Pearson, P	16	1	0	0
RY.Garcia, P	21	2	4	0
LT.Mayza, P	17	0.1	0	3
RM.White, P	13	0.2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2V.Guerrero, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3B.Bichette, SS	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Turner, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
4D.Schneider, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4D.Schneider, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5C.Biggio, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5C.Biggio, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Vogelbach, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9D.Varsho, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9D.Varsho, CF	1-4	0	0	0