Marlins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Marlins at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Miami Marlins

6-8

0 - 5

Atlanta Braves

8-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-8	+1.5+107	o8.5-102	+215
Braves 8-7	-1.5-127	u8.5-118	-262

Tuesday 11:20 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

D.Fletcher u0.5 Hits+146

Under 9-120

0.5u

Under 9-105

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (+100)

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Featured Insight
Braves RPs have allowed an OPS of just .658 (5,056 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB. Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .685 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 7% of PA's over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.3 MPH (20 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

27 of Max Fried's 112 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 13% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162
Apr 20th	TEX	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -142
Apr 19th	TEX	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	ATL -207
Apr 17th	@HOU	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -134

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	84	5.2	4	3
RA.Bender, P	20	1.1	1	0
RD.Cronin, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		92	9	6	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Arcia, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	2	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	2-3	0	0	1
7A.Duvall, LF	2-4	2	1	2
8M.Harris, CF	2-4	0	0	1
9D. Fletcher, 2B	1-2	0	0	1
9J.Kelenic, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 2B	0-0	0	0	0