Marlins vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Marlins at Cubs

6:20 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

6-8

6 - 3

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12
E.Cabrera			4.95	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-192	o8.5-103	+105
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+160	u8.5-117	-125

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

April 21, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 8.5-115

MIA +110

0.33u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-118

0.5u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-110)

CHC -124

0.5u

Flat to -127

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 3.6 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (19 games). The Marlins have allowed 3.0 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (20 games).

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Apr 21, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 9% of PA's this season -- fourth lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 12% this season -- tied for fifth lowest among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP-- third Percentile.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .332 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 76% (64/84) against Edward Cabrera's changeup since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (77/431) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	MIA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -219
Apr 20th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -141
Apr 19th	MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -170
Apr 17th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +110
Apr 17th	@ARI	L 11-12	+1.5 W	O 10	ARI +100

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	96	5	7	3
RB.Hoeing, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	9	1	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
4V.Brujan, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0	1
7N.Gordon, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	56	4	5	4
LD.Smyly, P	29	2.1	1	2
RC.Brewer, P	20	0.2	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	21	1	1	0
RK.Thompson, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	3-5	0	2
2C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	1
3C.Morel, 3B	1-5	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0
6G.Cooper, DH	0-4	0	0
7M.Tauchman, RF	2-4	2	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	1-4	1	0