Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2024

Marlins at Mets

4:05 pm • Roku
3 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Paul Blackburn logoP.BlackburnNew York Mets logo4.414-2
Valente Bellozo logoV.BellozoMiami Marlins logo3.673-4

Marlins at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
0-0
+1.5-125
o8.5-105
+165
Mets
7-6
-1.5+105
u8.5-115
-199
location pinSunday 4:05 p.m.
August 18, 2024
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Marlins vs. Mets Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
88d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
J.Burger o1.5 Total Bases+115
0.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
88d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-117
1u
… f5 High winds, low Home ERA Pitcher Overall: 154-89-10,63% (ROI:23%) Season:4-4-2,50% (ROI:-3%)
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
88d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
J.Burger o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
1.25u
Free Play⚡️
Picks  Office
Picks Office
88d ago
Last 30d: 88-110-3 (-29.3u)
MIA +1.5-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Miami Marlins face off against the New York Mets as rookie Valente Bellozo takes the hill for Miami. He's been very good, his first five starts producing a 2.28 ERA with a WHIP of 0.94. His 21% strikeout rate is solid, his 52% ground ball rate very impressive for a rookie; though his 6.5% walk rate could be a point of concern. On the downside, the 3.20 FIP does show that his ERA may jump up a bit, but it is still solid right now, considering who he is playing against. Bellozo has been fantastic of late, giving up just 2 ER in his last three starts over 17.2 innings. On the other side, Paul Blackburn takes the mound for the Mets. Blackburn has made 12 starts this season with what is roughly a 4.43 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, a substantially lower strikeout rate of around 19.5%, and a 47% ground ball rate. He has a pretty manageable 7% walk rate, though he has had a tough time keeping the ball in the yard, allowing 1.34 home runs per 9 innings. Meanwhile, the recent form of Blackburn is a bit troublesome: over his last five starts, he has given up 21 runs in 25 innings, walking 10 batters in that stretch. That mixed form, now aligned with an improving Miami offense, could be trouble for New York. As well, the bullpen of the Mets remains unsettled in their last 10 games where they have projected a 4.50 ERA, while the Marlins have been hitting .254 in the past five games. With Bellozo's form and the Mets' struggles lately, taking Miami on the +1.5 run line is just too hard to pass up. The Marlins have been shown to be able to hit weaker pitching this year, and with Bellozo on the mound, they have a solid chance of keeping this game close, even an outside chance of actually winning it.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
88d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Under 8.5-105
0.48u
Flat to -110
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
88d ago
Last 30d: 160-160-1 (+22.6u)
MIA +165
1.65u

PRO Insights

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Marlins vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Marlins vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

8%

Bets%

92%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
86-7644-3742-3952-4533-30
Marlins
77-8535-4642-392-1575-70

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets
81-76-542-3939-37-546-46-534-29
Marlins
85-66-1153-20-832-46-311-5-174-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
89-7346-3543-3860-3728-35
Marlins
62-10030-5132-494-1358-87

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 17thMIAW 4-0-1.5 WU 8.5NYM -192
Aug 16thMIAW 7-3-1.5 WO 8.5NYM -270
Aug 15thATHL 6-7-1.5 LO 8ATH -194
Aug 14thATHW 9-1-1.5 WO 8.5NYM -225
Aug 13thATHL 4-9-1.5 LO 8.5ATH -197

Marlins vs. Mets Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Sandy Alcantara
    P

    Alcantara is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Jesus Luzardo
    P

    Luzardo is out with back

    Out

  • Max Meyer
    P

    Meyer is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Eury Perez
    P

    Perez is out with elbow

    Out

Mets Injuries

  • Paul Blackburn
    P

    Blackburn is out with hand

    Out

  • Ronny Mauricio
    IF

    Mauricio is out with knee

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    P

    Scott is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins vs. Mets Box Score
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Valente Bellozo logoRV.Bellozo, P835.142
Jesus Tinoco logoRJ.Tinoco, P281.140
Andrew Nardi logoLA.Nardi, P150.220
Declan Cronin logoRD.Cronin, P20.200
Calvin Faucher logoRC.Faucher, P21120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Xavier Edwards logo1X.Edwards, SS1-2000
Jake Burger logo2J.Burger, DH0-4000
Jonah Bride logo3J.Bride, 1B1-3100
Jesus Sanchez logo4J.Sanchez, RF0-3000
Derek Hill logo5D.Hill, CF2-4101
Derek Hill logo5D.Hill, LF2-4101
Emmanuel Rivera logo6E.Rivera, 3B2-4000
Kyle Stowers logo7K.Stowers, LF0-4000
Cristian Pache logo7C.Pache, CF0-0000
Otto Lopez logo8O.Lopez, 2B2-4100
Nick Fortes logo9N.Fortes, C0-3001
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Paul Blackburn logoRP.Blackburn, P92641
Huascar Brazoban logoRH.Brazoban, P130.201
Reed Garrett logoRR.Garrett, P27111
Phil Maton logoRP.Maton, P211.120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS1-5001
Mark Vientos logo2M.Vientos, 3B1-5000
Brandon Nimmo logo3B.Nimmo, LF1-3111
Francisco Alvarez logo3F.Alvarez, C0-0000
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B1-3000
Starling Marte logo5S.Marte, RF1-3000
Harrison Bader logo5H.Bader, CF0-1000
Jesse Winker logo6J.Winker, DH1-3100
J.D. Martinez logo6J.Martinez, PH0-1000
J.D. Martinez logo6J.Martinez, DH0-1000
Jose Iglesias logo7J.Iglesias, 2B2-2000
Tyrone Taylor logo8T.Taylor, CF1-4000
Tyrone Taylor logo8T.Taylor, RF1-4000
Luis Torrens logo9L.Torrens, C0-2000
Jeff McNeil logo9J.McNeil, PH0-1000
Jeff McNeil logo9J.McNeil, LF0-1000

Marlins vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Marlins at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Marlins
0-0
o3.5+100
u3.5-128
Mets
7-6
o4.5-120
u4.5-110