Marlins vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2023

Marlins at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN2

Miami Marlins

3-6

2 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 3-6	+1.5-175	o8-118	+115
Orioles 5-4	-1.5+145	u8-104	-136

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 14, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+160

1.6u

BAL -130

$76.92

Everyone and their mother is on this

BAL -142

0.7u

BAL -118

0.85u

Available on FanDuel. My model typically really likes the Marlins, so I was a bit surprised to see value on the Orioles here. But Dean Kremer has been really, really solid in 10 starts since he started throwing more cutters. He has a 3.75 SIERA in that time with impressive plate-discipline numbers. I haven't seen enough from Sandy Alcantara to expect that he'll magically turn things around in the second half. My model has the Orioles closer to 60% to win versus their implied odds of 54.1%, pushing me toward locking them in.

MIA +106

0.4u

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks+108

1.08u

S.Alcantara o4.5 Ks-128

0.78u

MIA -106 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -108

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +106

Over 8-120

0.6u

Over 8-115

0.58u

Bet to -123 or 8.5 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@MIN	W 15-2	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +125
Jul 8th	@MIN	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL +104
Jul 8th	@MIN	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +140
Jul 6th	@NYY	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -127
Jul 5th	@NYY	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -105

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	99	6	5	2
LR.Garcia, P	15	0.1	0	0
RB.Hoeing, P	21	1.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	0	0	0
5G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Wendle, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-2	0	0	0
8Y.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Myers, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	97	6	8	1
RB.Baker, P	16	1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	16	1	1	1
RF.Bautista, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1G.Henderson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-2	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	3-4	2	1	1
7A. Hicks, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	3-4	2	2	4
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-0	0	0	0