Marlins vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 31, 2024

Marlins at Rays

4:10 pm • BSSUN

Miami Marlins

4-3

6 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

4-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11
R.Munoz			6.53	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 4-3	+1.5	+1.5+107	o7.5-102	+215
Rays 4-2	u7.5	-1.5-128	u7.5-118	-265

Wednesday 4:10 p.m.

July 31, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Over 7.5+100

TB -1.5-107

2.14u

J.Lowe o1.5 Total Bases+145

0.73u

T.Bradley u4.5 Hits Allowed-125

0.4u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

0.5u

TB -1.5-115

0.6u

TB -1.5-108

R.Munoz o15.5 Outs-104

1.04u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

J.Sanchez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+120

Projection lands at 1.77 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -160 giving us value at this number

B.Lowe o1.5 Total Bases+127

MIA +1.5-110

2.73u

R.Munoz o15.5 Outs+114

0.5u

Projection lands at 16.10 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -110 giving us value at this number

T.Bradley o6.5 Ks-106

1.06u

Bradley has been dominant at home - 1.50 ERA, 2.70 xFIP, 36.4% K%. Over in 7/8 (miss was 6 vs KC). MIA with a 25.5% K% vs righties over the L30 days in away games. Plus, we should see the backup catcher today (27% K%), and potentially some of the new additions, who profile as high K% (Norby, Stowers).

MIA +200

BP4

Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% this season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 2.4 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (268 games). The Marlins have scored just 2.1 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second lowest in MLB (267 games).

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-2	0-1
Marlins	5-2	5-2	N/A	0-1	5-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	1-5	1-5	N/A	1-4	0-1
Marlins	4-3	4-3	N/A	0-1	4-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-1	0-1
Marlins	4-3	4-3	N/A	1-0	3-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 30th	MIA	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7	TB -180
Jul 28th	CIN	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -101
Jul 27th	CIN	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TB -130
Jul 26th	CIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN -111
Jul 25th	@TOR	W 13-0	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -105

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with finger
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Sanchez
OF
Sanchez is out with side
Out
Edward Cabrera
P
Cabrera is out with finger
Out
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Connor Norby
IF
Norby is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Munoz, P	78	5	7	2
LA.Nardi, P	18	1	3	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	23	1	1	0
RA.Bender, P	22	1	2	0
RC.Faucher, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	1-3	0	0	3
2J.Burger, DH	1-4	1	1	2
3K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bride, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
9A.Sanchez, C	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	94	5	6	4
RE.Uceta, P	50	2	5	2
RJ.Kuhnel, P	22	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Morel, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Lowe, RF	2-3	0	0	0
5J.Caballero, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Palacios, LF	0-0	1	0	0
6D.Carlson, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.DeLuca, CF	2-4	0	0	1
8T.Walls, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0