Marlins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Marlins at Red Sox

10:10 pm • NESN

Miami Marlins

3-7

2 - 0

Boston Red Sox

7-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.24	12-11
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 3-7	-1.5+159	o8.5-110	+100
Red Sox 7-5	+1.5-191	u8.5-110	-120

Thursday 10:10 p.m.

June 29, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -121 (F5)

BOS -110 (F5)

1.1u

Over 8.5-118

0.59u

has gotten a little low

L.Arraez o1.5 Hits+150

0.5u

Over 8.5-120

0.6u

Bet to -125 or 9 (-105)

BOS o4.5-105

$52.50

BOS -115

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The Red Sox are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 5% of PA's over the last 30 days -- lowest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Brayan Bello has a strikeout rate of just 14% vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days -- tied for fifth lowest among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 49% (113/231) on sliders this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (18 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	MIA	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	MIA +114
Jun 27th	MIA	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 9.5	MIA -137
Jun 25th	@CWS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 10	CWS -124
Jun 24th	@CWS	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -115
Jun 24th	@CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -125

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Luzardo, P	99	6.1	9
LA.Nardi, P	7	0.2	1
LT.Scott, P	12	1	2
LA.Puk, P	16	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3J. Davis, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J. Davis, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	1
5J. Segura, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Wendle, SS	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Berti, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	99	7	5	1
RC.Martin, P	14	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Turner, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Hernandez, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0	0