Mets vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2024

Mets at Brewers

12:10 am • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

4 - 8

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Montas			5.01	4-8
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5	-1.5+142	o7.5-112	-115
Brewers 1-2	u7.5	+1.5-170	u7.5-107	-103

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

September 28, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

NYM -115

1.15u

MIL +100

MIL -102

NYM -120

Bet365

NYM -115

1.15u

Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Brewers RPs this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- lowest in MLB (210 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (196 games).

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The Mets are 73-21 (.777) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Willy Adames is batting just .235 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .212 (168-for-793) against Sean Manaea since last season -- tied for 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	@PIT	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIL -120
Sep 25th	@PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -159
Sep 24th	@PIT	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -153
Sep 22nd	ARI	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -135
Sep 21st	ARI	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	ARI -110

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	91	3.2	1	5
RJ.Butto, P	18	1.1	2	0
LD.Young, P	20	0.2	0	0
RA.Ottavino, P	26	1.1	3	0
LA.Young, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Iglesias, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
6J.Winker, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0	1
7J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-1	1	0	0
8L.Torrens, PR	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Torrens, C	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P	82	4	6	2
RJ.Ross, P	38	3	3	0
LH.Milner, P	23	0.2	1	1
RT.Megill, P	14	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	3-4	3	0	1
2S.Frelick, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2G.Mitchell, RF	1-2	0	0	0
3J.Chourio, LF	1-4	0	0	1
4W.Contreras, C	1-2	1	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	0-3	1	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	1-4	1	1	4
7J.Ortiz, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Sanchez, DH	1-4	1	1	1
9B.Perkins, CF	0-4	1	0	0